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New Zealand vs Cook Islands

World World

World Cup 2002 North Harbour Stadium, Auckland
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with New Zealand advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
New Zealand
15%
Draws
39%
Cook Islands
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New Zealand

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and New Zealand come out ahead of Cook Islands on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans New Zealand's way, sitting at 50%.
  • New Zealand have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor New Zealand, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
New Zealand Clean Sheet 11%
Cook Islands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand Cook Islands
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 12 7
Draws 4 2
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 2.17 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2001 World Championship
New Zealand vs Cook Islands
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand 47 / 100
Cook Islands 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand Cook Islands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Zealand Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cook Islands let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.

Attacking prowess: New Zealand scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: New Zealand remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand VS Cook Islands
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

New Zealand

(Home)
05 Oct
Japan
2 : 1
New Zealand
01 Oct
Panama
1 : 2
New Zealand
27 Sept
China
0 : 3
New Zealand
24 Sept
Palestine
2 : 2
New Zealand
27 Jun
New Zealand
1 : 5
Belgium
Page 1 of 6

Cook Islands

(Away)
01 Oct
Cook Islands
3 : 2
Tahiti
27 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 3
Tahiti
08 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 2
American Samoa
05 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 3
Tonga
26 Mar
Cook Islands
1 : 0
Tonga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia 4 4 0 0 66:0 12
2 Fiji 4 3 0 1 27:4 9
3 Tonga 4 2 0 2 7:30 6
4 Samoa 4 1 0 3 9:18 3
5 American Samoa 4 0 0 4 0:57 0
Promotion - World Cup 2002 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand 4 4 0 0 19:1 12
2 Tahiti 4 3 0 1 14:6 9
3 Solomon Islands 4 2 0 2 17:10 6
4 Vanuatu 4 1 0 3 11:21 3
5 Cook Islands 4 0 0 4 2:25 0
Promotion - World Cup 2002 (Play Offs)