Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 BC Place, Vancouver, BC

New Zealand

1 - 3

Egypt

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

Surman F.

Assist: Payne T.

17'

Lasheen M.

20'

Singh S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Egypt in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Egypt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%

New Zealand

35%

Draws

40%

Egypt

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Egypt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence

Egypt have won more games recently than New Zealand.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%

New Zealand Clean Sheet 11%

Egypt Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	New Zealand	Egypt
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	12	14
Draws	4	8
Losses	12	6
Goals Scored	2.29	1.36
Goals Conceded	1.32	0.86
Expected Goals (xG)	1.19	1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2026 World Championship

New Zealand vs Egypt

1:3

Mar 22, 2024 Friendly International

Egypt vs New Zealand

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Zealand Compare

Top Goalscorer Surman F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.92

Avg xA / game 0.59

Egypt Compare

Top Goalscorer Ziko M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Salah M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.65

Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand 35 / 100

Egypt 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

New Zealand Egypt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Egypt Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Zealand found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Egypt conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: New Zealand remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand VS Egypt

1.25 Goals Scored 1.38

2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 50%

75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

New Zealand

(Home)

27 Sept

China

0 : 3

New Zealand

24 Sept

Palestine

2 : 2

New Zealand

27 Jun

New Zealand

1 : 5

Belgium

22 Jun

New Zealand

1 : 3

Egypt

16 Jun

Iran

2 : 2

New Zealand

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Egypt

(Away)

25 Sept

Egypt

0 : 0

Angola

07 Jul

Argentina

3 : 2

Egypt

03 Jul

Australia

1 : 2

Egypt

27 Jun

Egypt

1 : 1

Iran

22 Jun

New Zealand

1 : 3

Egypt

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