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New Zealand vs Malaysia

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Friendly International 2024 North Harbour Stadium
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AI Match Summary

New Zealand play Malaysia in the Friendly International 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, New Zealand averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Malaysia averaged 1.86 goals scored and 0.71 conceded. In past meetings, New Zealand won 3, Malaysia won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 14, 2024 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.79 for New Zealand and 1.75 for Malaysia. This points to a New Zealand double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
New Zealand
6%
Draws
90%
Malaysia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Malaysia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • New Zealand has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Malaysia.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Malaysia.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Friendly International 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
New Zealand Clean Sheet 12%
Malaysia Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand Malaysia
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 13 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2024 Friendly International
New Zealand vs Malaysia
4:0
Nov 18, 2014 Friendly International
Malaysia vs New Zealand
0:0
Feb 22, 2006 Friendly International
New Zealand vs Malaysia
2:1
Feb 18, 2006 Friendly International
New Zealand vs Malaysia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Zealand Compare

Top Goalscorer Just E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garbett M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Malaysia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.69
Avg xA / game 1.03

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand 10 / 100
Malaysia 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand Malaysia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Zealand scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Malaysia let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

New Zealand went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Malaysia lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand VS Malaysia
0.88 Goals Scored 1.86
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.71
75% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 29%