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New Zealand W vs Fiji W

World World

World Cup Women Waikato Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Brown K.
21' Event
Taylor K.
27' Event
Foster M.

AI Match Summary

The World Cup Women game between New Zealand W and Fiji W finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New Zealand W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
New Zealand W
6%
Draws
4%
Fiji W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New Zealand W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fiji W come out ahead of New Zealand W on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on New Zealand W taking it.
  • Cup games in World Cup Women usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and New Zealand W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
New Zealand W Clean Sheet 12%
Fiji W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand W Fiji W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 16
Draws 4 2
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 3.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 World Cup Women
New Zealand W vs Fiji W
5:0
Feb 16, 2024 Olympic Games Women
New Zealand W vs Fiji W
7:1
Dec 1, 2018 OFC Nations Cup Women
Fiji W vs New Zealand W
0:8
Nov 25, 2018 OFC Nations Cup Women
Fiji W vs New Zealand W
0:10

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Zealand W Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Taylor K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Fiji W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand W 83 / 100
Fiji W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand W Fiji W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZEA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiji W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 7.75 goals per match.

New Zealand W's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

New Zealand W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand W VS Fiji W
3.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
New Zealand W5
Fiji W0
Papua New Guinea W1
American Samoa W0
Final
New Zealand W1
Papua New Guinea W0