Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Newbuildings vs Armagh

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Newbuildings in this Irish Cup 2011/2012 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Newbuildings
33%
Draws
27%
Armagh
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Newbuildings

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Newbuildings have won more games recently than Armagh.
  • Model gives Newbuildings a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Newbuildings have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Newbuildings, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Newbuildings Clean Sheet 10%
Armagh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newbuildings Armagh
Matches Played 21 35
Wins 8 4
Draws 1 4
Losses 12 27
Goals Scored 2 0.38
Goals Conceded 5 5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.00 5.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 10, 2011 Irish Cup
Newbuildings vs Armagh
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newbuildings 38 / 100
Armagh 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newbuildings Armagh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Newbuildings scored in 90% of their last 21 outings.

Armagh let in goals in 83% of their last 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Armagh has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Newbuildings VS Armagh
2 Goals Scored 0.38
5 Goals Conceded 5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Newbuildings

(Home)
11 Jul
Newbuildings
2 : 5
Coleraine
22 Nov
Newbuildings
1 : 2
Moyola
05 Jul
Newbuildings
1 : 7
Linfield
28 Sept
Dunmurry Rec
3 : 2
Newbuildings
17 Aug
Holywood
1 : 4
Newbuildings
Page 1 of 5

Armagh

(Away)
10 Jul
Armagh
0 : 1
Cliftonville
25 Apr
Armagh
1 : 4
Institute
21 Apr
Ballinamallard
6 : 0
Armagh
18 Apr
Dundela
0 : 0
Armagh
10 Apr
Ards
2 : 1
Armagh
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobermore -
Wakehurst -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Downpatrick 0
Islandmagee 1
Rathfriland Rangers 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Donegal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Newington FC 4
Sirocco 3
TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
Immaculata 2
Crumlin Star 0
TBD -
Banbridge -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Portstewart -
Iveagh Utd 2
Wellington Rec 1
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Derriaghy 1
Ballynahinch United 0
TBD -
Queens University -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Coagh Utd -
TBD -
Mountjoy 0
Banbridge Rangers 3
Chimney -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Dunmurry Rec 4
Bangor Old Boys 0
Foundry 1
Ards Rangers 3
Armagh -
TBD -
Dromara 1
Newbuildings 6
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
Killymoon -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
1/32-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff 0
Warrenpoint 1
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Ballinamallard 3
Tobermore 1
Wakehurst 0
Dundela 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 6
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Coleraine -
Donegal -
TBD -
Limavady 0
Institute 2
Ards 3
Annagh 0
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Newington FC 3
Glebe 0
TBD -
Glentoran -
Larne 3
PSNI 0
TBD -
Dungannon -
Newry City 6
Sport & Leisure 1
Immaculata 1
Banbridge 4
Bangor FC 3
Portstewart 0
Iveagh Utd 1
Ballymoney 4
Derriaghy 2
Queens University 0
Knockbreda 1
Dergview 5
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Coagh Utd 1
Banbridge Rangers 0
Chimney 0
Loughgall 5
Dunmurry Rec 3
Ards Rangers 2
Armagh 0
Newbuildings 3
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
Moyola 1
Killymoon 3
Ballyclare 2
Lurgan Celtic 1
TBD -
Linfield -
1/16-finals
Crusaders 3
Warrenpoint 0
Portadown 1
Glenavon 2
Ballinamallard 3
Dundela 0
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Coleraine 3
Donegal 2
Institute 1
Ards 0
Cliftonville 2
Newington FC 1
Glentoran 0
Larne 1
Dungannon 3
Newry City 1
Banbridge 0
Bangor FC 2
Ballymoney 4
Derriaghy 1
Dergview 0
Lisburn Distillery 1
Ballymena 2
Coagh Utd 4
Loughgall 3
Dunmurry Rec 1
Newbuildings 4
Carrick Rangers 3
Killymoon 1
Ballyclare 1
Linfield 7
1/8-finals
Crusaders 4
Glenavon 0
Ballinamallard 0
Coleraine 3
Donegal 1
Cliftonville 0
Newington FC 0
Dungannon 3
Newry City 6
Ballymoney 1
Derriaghy 1
Ballymena 3
Coagh Utd 5
Newbuildings 2
Carrick Rangers 1
Linfield 5
Quarter-finals
Crusaders 2
Coleraine 0
Donegal 1
Dungannon 2
Newry City 3
Ballymena 0
Coagh Utd 0
Linfield 4
Semi-finals
Crusaders 1
Dungannon 0
Newry City 0
Linfield 7
Final
Crusaders 1
Linfield 4