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Newcastle Benfield vs Dunbar United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Stewart S.
(Penalty)
61' Event
Whitson D.
Own Goal
79' Event
Robertson C.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Newcastle Benfield and Dunbar United finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dunbar United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Newcastle Benfield
15%
Draws
42%
Dunbar United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newcastle Benfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dunbar United come out ahead of Newcastle Benfield on wins alone.
  • Newcastle Benfield are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Newcastle Benfield Clean Sheet 11%
Dunbar United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Benfield Dunbar United
Matches Played 20 20
Wins 7 8
Draws 2 1
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.4 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Newcastle Benfield vs Dunbar United
1:2
Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Dunbar United vs Newcastle Benfield
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Benfield Compare

Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Dunbar United Compare

Top Goalscorer Robertson C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.66
Avg xA / game 1.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Benfield 65 / 100
Dunbar United 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Benfield Dunbar United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newcastle Benfield Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunbar United let in goals in 90% of their last 20 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Newcastle Benfield scored in 70% of their last 20 outings.

Dunbar United's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Benfield VS Dunbar United
1.33 Goals Scored 2
1.67 Goals Conceded 2
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 88%
17% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Benfield

(Home)
14 Sept
Newcastle Benfield
0 : 1
Wythenshawe Town
31 Aug
Newcastle Benfield
2 : 1
Prescot Cables
20 Jul
Newcastle Benfield
1 : 2
Dunbar United
13 Jul
Blyth Spartans
2 : 1
Newcastle Benfield
06 Jul
Newcastle Benfield
1 : 0
Ryton & Crawcrook
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Dunbar United

(Away)
05 Jul
Dunbar United
0 : 2
East Fife
28 Sept
Dunbar United
1 : 4
Boness Athletic
20 Jul
Newcastle Benfield
1 : 2
Dunbar United
16 Jul
Dunbar United
0 : 3
Tranent FC
13 Jul
Cowdenbeath
2 : 3
Dunbar United
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