Sport Picks

Wales

FA Cup 2013/2014

Chepstow Town

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Newcastle Emlyn play Chepstow Town in the FA Cup 2013/2014. Chepstow Town are favorites here. Recently, Newcastle Emlyn averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Chepstow Town averaged 1.94 goals scored and 1.76 conceded. In past meetings, Newcastle Emlyn won 0, Chepstow Town won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 12, 2013 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Newcastle Emlyn and 2.06 for Chepstow Town. This points to a Chepstow Town double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%

Newcastle Emlyn

15%

Draws

70%

Chepstow Town

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chepstow Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Newcastle Emlyn picked up more points recently compared to Chepstow Town.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 2.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 83%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Newcastle Emlyn Clean Sheet 10%

Chepstow Town Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Newcastle Emlyn	Chepstow Town
Matches Played	6	17
Wins	1	9
Draws	0	0
Losses	5	8
Goals Scored	1.5	1.94
Goals Conceded	2.5	1.76
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2013 FA Cup

Newcastle Emlyn vs Chepstow Town

Possession: 59% - 57% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Emlyn 16 / 100

Chepstow Town 65 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Newcastle Emlyn Chepstow Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chepstow Town Win (2)

Secondary Pick Chepstow Town & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +114.3%

14.29

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.9%

1.30

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Newcastle Emlyn attacking → ← attacking Chepstow Town

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Emlyn scored in 100% of their last 6 games.

Chepstow Town let in goals in 71% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Newcastle Emlyn went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Chepstow Town lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 27

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75