Sport Picks
Newcastle Jets U23 vs Hills United
Australia
NSW League One 
AI Match Summary
Newcastle Jets U23 host Hills United in the NSW League One. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Newcastle Jets U23 have averaged 1.5 scored and 2.75 conceded recently, against Hills United's 2.13 scored and 1.75 conceded. Head-to-head, Newcastle Jets U23 have won 2 to Hills United's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.63 - 2.44) back Hills United to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Hills United carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Hills United a 60% chance of winning this.
- Regular NSW League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Newcastle Jets U23 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newcastle Jets U23 | Hills United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.75 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.75 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newcastle Jets U23 scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Hills United let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.
Solid form: Newcastle Jets U23 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Newcastle Jets U23
(Home)Hills United
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blacktown Spartans | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 60:31 | 53 |
| 2 | Northern Tigers | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 43:22 | 46 |
| 3 | Bankstown City Lions FC | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 45:37 | 43 |
| 4 | Macarthur Rams | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 32:25 | 42 |
| 5 | Canterbury Bankstown FC | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 57:39 | 41 |
| 6 | Rydalmere Lions | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 37:34 | 37 |
| 7 | Hills United | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 42:39 | 36 |
| 8 | Bulls Academy | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 44:39 | 33 |
| 9 | Hakoah Sydney | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 41:40 | 30 |
| 10 | Hurstville Zagreb | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 37:39 | 30 |
| 11 | Central Coast U23 | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 40:47 | 27 |
| 12 | Inter Lions | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 29:46 | 25 |
| 13 | Newcastle Jets U23 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 45:55 | 23 |
| 14 | Dulwich Hill | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 27:47 | 23 |
| 15 | Western City Rangers | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 29:48 | 19 |
| 16 | Prospect United | 24 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 23:43 | 18 |