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Newcastle Jets vs Shanghai Port - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle
Tue, Nov 3, 2026
VS
07:45 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Newcastle Jets host Shanghai Port in the AFC Champions League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Newcastle Jets at 1.96 goals for, 1.59 against; Shanghai Port at 2 for, 1.29 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 0.98 vs 2.12, favoring Shanghai Port. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Newcastle Jets
30%
Draws
61%
Shanghai Port
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shanghai Port

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shanghai Port lately — more wins on the board than Newcastle Jets.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Shanghai Port taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Newcastle Jets Clean Sheet 10%
Shanghai Port Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Jets Shanghai Port
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 13 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.96 2
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 2.12
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Jets 10 / 100
Shanghai Port 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Jets Shanghai Port

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shanghai Port Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Jets scored in 93% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Shanghai Port conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Newcastle Jets has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Jets VS Shanghai Port
0.71 Goals Scored 2.38
1.86 Goals Conceded 1.25
57% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Jets

(Home)
24 Oct
Newcastle Jets
1 : 1
Macarthur FC
17 Oct
Central Coast
2 : 2
Newcastle Jets
13 Oct
Newcastle Jets
1 : 3
Gamba Osaka
15 Sept
Kashima Antlers
7 : 1
Newcastle Jets
21 Jul
Preston Lions
3 : 2
Newcastle Jets
Page 1 of 6

Shanghai Port

(Away)
24 Oct
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 3
Shanghai Port
18 Oct
Shanghai Port
3 : 0
Chengdu Rongcheng
13 Oct
Shanghai Port
1 : 1
Daejeon
09 Oct
Zhejiang Professional
2 : 4
Shanghai Port
15 Sept
Ratchaburi
4 : 6
Shanghai Port
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Johor DT 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 Kashima Antlers 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
4 Gamba Osaka 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
5 Kyoto 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
6 Beijing Guoan 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
7 Shanghai Port 3 1 1 1 9:8 4
8 Daejeon 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
9 Kashiwa Reysol 2 1 0 1 6:3 3
10 Jeonbuk 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
11 Cong An Ha Noi 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
12 Buriram United F.C. 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
13 Ratchaburi 2 0 0 2 4:7 0
14 Pohang 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
15 Port MTI FC 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
16 Newcastle Jets 3 0 0 3 4:15 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Al Ahli SC 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
3 Esteghlal TEH 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
4 Al Hilal 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
5 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
6 Al Qadsiah 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
7 Al Ittihad 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
8 Al Nassr 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
9 Neftchi Fargona 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
10 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
11 Shamal 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
12 Pakhtakor 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
13 Tractor 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
14 Al Sadd 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
15 Al Gharafa 3 0 0 3 3:6 0
16 Al Wasl 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)