Sport Picks
Newcastle Olympic vs Belmont Swansea United Prediction & H2H Stats
Australia
NPL Northern NSW Darling Street Oval, Newcastle 
Match Events
8'
8'
McGee A.
17'
17'
Muller J.
24'
24'
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
The NPL Northern NSW game between Newcastle Olympic and Belmont Swansea United finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newcastle Olympic.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newcastle Olympic
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Belmont Swansea United carry the better recent record into this one.
- Newcastle Olympic are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Newcastle Olympic Clean Sheet 14%
Belmont Swansea United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newcastle Olympic | Belmont Swansea United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 22, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Newcastle Olympic vs Belmont Swansea United
5:2
Apr 19, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Belmont Swansea United vs Newcastle Olympic
2:2
Aug 10, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Belmont Swansea United vs Newcastle Olympic
2:3
Jun 6, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Newcastle Olympic vs Belmont Swansea United
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Newcastle Olympic Compare
Top Goalscorer Muller J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hay B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Belmont Swansea United Compare
Top Goalscorer McGee A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Goodwin C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newcastle Olympic 84 / 100
Belmont Swansea United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newcastle Olympic Belmont Swansea United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Newcastle Olympic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Belmont Swansea United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Newcastle Olympic found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Belmont Swansea United's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Newcastle Olympic VS Belmont Swansea United
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Newcastle Olympic
(Home) 16 Aug
Lambton Jaffas FC
2 : 0 Newcastle Olympic
08 Aug
Newcastle Olympic
1 : 2 Valentine
26 Jul
Edgeworth Eagles FC
2 : 0 Newcastle Olympic
22 Jul
Newcastle Olympic
5 : 2 Belmont Swansea United
12 Jul
Broadmeadow Magic FC
2 : 1 Newcastle Olympic
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Newcastle Olympic
1 : 2 Valentine
22 Jul
Newcastle Olympic
5 : 2 Belmont Swansea United
01 Jul
Newcastle Olympic
7 : 1 Charlestown Azzurri
27 Jun
Newcastle Olympic
0 : 0 Cooks Hill United
14 Jun
Newcastle Olympic
3 : 3 Kahibah
Page 1 of 3
Belmont Swansea United
(Away) 23 Aug
Edgeworth Eagles FC
3 : 2 Belmont Swansea United
16 Aug
Belmont Swansea United
2 : 3 Adamstown Rosebud
08 Aug
Belmont Swansea United
2 : 1 Lambton Jaffas FC
02 Aug
Edgeworth Eagles FC
2 : 0 Belmont Swansea United
26 Jul
Kahibah
3 : 1 Belmont Swansea United
Page 1 of 7
23 Aug
Edgeworth Eagles FC
3 : 2 Belmont Swansea United
02 Aug
Edgeworth Eagles FC
2 : 0 Belmont Swansea United
26 Jul
Kahibah
3 : 1 Belmont Swansea United
22 Jul
Newcastle Olympic
5 : 2 Belmont Swansea United
27 Jun
Charlestown Azzurri
1 : 3 Belmont Swansea United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadmeadow Magic FC | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 59:23 | 49 |
| 2 | Maitland | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 40:32 | 42 |
| 3 | Weston Workers Bears | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 48:33 | 41 |
| 4 | Edgeworth Eagles FC | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 41:31 | 39 |
| 5 | Belmont Swansea United | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 47:44 | 35 |
| 6 | Cooks Hill United | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 43:36 | 33 |
| 7 | Valentine | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 22:39 | 26 |
| 8 | Lambton Jaffas FC | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 38:33 | 25 |
| 9 | Adamstown Rosebud | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 34:45 | 24 |
| 10 | Newcastle Olympic | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 39:40 | 21 |
| 11 | Kahibah | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 35:53 | 20 |
| 12 | Charlestown Azzurri | 22 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 25:62 | 14 |
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)
