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Newcastle Olympic vs Charlestown Azzurri

Australia Australia

NPL Northern NSW Darling Street Oval
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Southcombe W.
(Penalty)
18' Event
James K.
31' Event
Rodway J.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Northern NSW game between Newcastle Olympic and Charlestown Azzurri finished 7-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newcastle Olympic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Newcastle Olympic
6%
Draws
4%
Charlestown Azzurri
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Newcastle Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Newcastle Olympic come out ahead of Charlestown Azzurri on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Newcastle Olympic taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Newcastle Olympic Clean Sheet 16%
Charlestown Azzurri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Olympic Charlestown Azzurri
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 5
Draws 11 5
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 2.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Newcastle Olympic vs Charlestown Azzurri
7:1
Mar 1, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Charlestown Azzurri vs Newcastle Olympic
1:2
Jun 1, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Charlestown Azzurri vs Newcastle Olympic
3:2
Mar 2, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Newcastle Olympic vs Charlestown Azzurri
0:1
Aug 24, 2024 NPL Northern NSW
Charlestown Azzurri vs Newcastle Olympic
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Bradbury K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader James K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Charlestown Azzurri Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Olympic 84 / 100
Charlestown Azzurri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Olympic Charlestown Azzurri

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charlestown Azzurri's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Newcastle Olympic scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Newcastle Olympic remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Olympic VS Charlestown Azzurri
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Broadmeadow Magic FC18124249:2240
2Weston Workers Bears18103539:2933
3Belmont Swansea United1795340:3032
4Maitland1793533:2830
5Edgeworth Eagles FC1785434:2929
6Cooks Hill United1875636:3126
7Lambton Jaffas FC1864835:2922
8Valentine1854918:3619
9Newcastle Olympic1846833:3218
10Adamstown Rosebud1845925:3617
11Kahibah17421126:4114
12Charlestown Azzurri18421224:4914