Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Newcastle Olympic vs Kahibah

Australia Australia

NPL Northern NSW Darling Street Oval, Newcastle
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Duncan M.
Own Goal
36' Event
Bradbury K.
45' Event
Brymora D.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Northern NSW game between Newcastle Olympic and Kahibah finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Newcastle Olympic
15%
Draws
64%
Kahibah
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kahibah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kahibah come out ahead of Newcastle Olympic on wins alone.
  • Newcastle Olympic are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Newcastle Olympic Clean Sheet 13%
Kahibah Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Olympic Kahibah
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 7 2
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.93 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.8 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Newcastle Olympic vs Kahibah
3:3
Mar 15, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Kahibah vs Newcastle Olympic
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Bradbury K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brymora D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Kahibah Compare

Top Goalscorer Burston J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bos J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Olympic 40 / 100
Kahibah 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Olympic Kahibah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kahibah conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Newcastle Olympic found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Newcastle Olympic remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Olympic VS Kahibah
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Olympic

(Home)
16 Aug
Lambton Jaffas FC
2 : 0
Newcastle Olympic
08 Aug
Newcastle Olympic
1 : 2
Valentine
26 Jul
Edgeworth Eagles FC
2 : 0
Newcastle Olympic
22 Jul
Newcastle Olympic
5 : 2
Belmont Swansea United
12 Jul
Broadmeadow Magic FC
2 : 1
Newcastle Olympic
Page 1 of 6

Kahibah

(Away)
05 Sept
Kahibah
2 : 1
Newcastle Croatia
29 Aug
Kahibah
3 : 0
New Lambton
22 Aug
New Lambton
1 : 2
Kahibah
16 Aug
Kahibah
2 : 4
Cooks Hill United
12 Aug
Kahibah
1 : 2
Maitland
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Broadmeadow Magic FC 22 15 4 3 59:23 49
2 Maitland 22 13 3 6 40:32 42
3 Weston Workers Bears 22 12 5 5 48:33 41
4 Edgeworth Eagles FC 22 11 6 5 41:31 39
5 Belmont Swansea United 22 10 5 7 47:44 35
6 Cooks Hill United 22 9 6 7 43:36 33
7 Valentine 22 7 5 10 22:39 26
8 Lambton Jaffas FC 22 7 4 11 38:33 25
9 Adamstown Rosebud 22 6 6 10 34:45 24
10 Newcastle Olympic 22 5 6 11 39:40 21
11 Kahibah 22 6 2 14 35:53 20
12 Charlestown Azzurri 22 4 2 16 25:62 14
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)