Sport Picks
Newcastle Olympic vs Maitland
Australia
NPL Northern NSW Darling Street Oval, Newcastle 
Match Events
29'
29'
Crowley B.
(Penalty)
42'
42'
Crowley B.
60'
60'
Southcombe W.
AI Match Summary
Maitland in this NPL Northern NSW matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maitland.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maitland
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
21%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Maitland lately — more wins on the board than Newcastle Olympic.
- 21% — that's where the model lands on Newcastle Olympic taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Newcastle Olympic Clean Sheet 15%
Maitland Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newcastle Olympic | Maitland |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 21, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Maitland vs Newcastle Olympic
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Newcastle Olympic vs Maitland
2:3
Jun 22, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Newcastle Olympic vs Maitland
1:1
Mar 23, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Maitland vs Newcastle Olympic
3:5
Jun 15, 2024 NPL Northern NSW
Maitland vs Newcastle Olympic
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Newcastle Olympic Compare
Top Goalscorer Southcombe W.
1 Goals Assists Leader James K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Maitland Compare
Top Goalscorer Crowley B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Thompson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newcastle Olympic 39 / 100
Maitland 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newcastle Olympic Maitland
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Newcastle Olympic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Maitland let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Newcastle Olympic found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Newcastle Olympic went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Newcastle Olympic VS Maitland
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Newcastle Olympic
(Home) 16 Aug
Lambton Jaffas FC
2 : 0 Newcastle Olympic
08 Aug
Newcastle Olympic
1 : 2 Valentine
26 Jul
Edgeworth Eagles FC
2 : 0 Newcastle Olympic
22 Jul
Newcastle Olympic
5 : 2 Belmont Swansea United
12 Jul
Broadmeadow Magic FC
2 : 1 Newcastle Olympic
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Newcastle Olympic
1 : 2 Valentine
22 Jul
Newcastle Olympic
5 : 2 Belmont Swansea United
01 Jul
Newcastle Olympic
7 : 1 Charlestown Azzurri
27 Jun
Newcastle Olympic
0 : 0 Cooks Hill United
14 Jun
Newcastle Olympic
3 : 3 Kahibah
Page 1 of 3
Maitland
(Away) 13 Sept
Weston Workers Bears
2 : 0 Maitland
06 Sept
Broadmeadow Magic FC
0 : 1 Maitland
30 Aug
Maitland
2 : 1 Edgeworth Eagles FC
23 Aug
Maitland
0 : 1 Weston Workers Bears
16 Aug
Maitland
2 : 1 Edgeworth Eagles FC
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Weston Workers Bears
2 : 0 Maitland
06 Sept
Broadmeadow Magic FC
0 : 1 Maitland
12 Aug
Kahibah
1 : 2 Maitland
09 Aug
Charlestown Azzurri
1 : 2 Maitland
18 Jul
Lambton Jaffas FC
0 : 1 Maitland
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadmeadow Magic FC | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 59:23 | 49 |
| 2 | Maitland | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 40:32 | 42 |
| 3 | Weston Workers Bears | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 48:33 | 41 |
| 4 | Edgeworth Eagles FC | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 41:31 | 39 |
| 5 | Belmont Swansea United | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 47:44 | 35 |
| 6 | Cooks Hill United | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 43:36 | 33 |
| 7 | Valentine | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 22:39 | 26 |
| 8 | Lambton Jaffas FC | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 38:33 | 25 |
| 9 | Adamstown Rosebud | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 34:45 | 24 |
| 10 | Newcastle Olympic | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 39:40 | 21 |
| 11 | Kahibah | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 35:53 | 20 |
| 12 | Charlestown Azzurri | 22 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 25:62 | 14 |
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)
