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Newcastle Olympic vs Valentine Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

NPL Northern NSW Darling Street Oval, Newcastle
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Graham C.
53' Event
Brymora D.
75' Event
Hunt E.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Northern NSW game between Newcastle Olympic and Valentine finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valentine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Newcastle Olympic
15%
Draws
65%
Valentine
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valentine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valentine come out ahead of Newcastle Olympic on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Newcastle Olympic's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular NPL Northern NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Newcastle Olympic Clean Sheet 16%
Valentine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Olympic Valentine
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.93 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Newcastle Olympic vs Valentine
1:2
May 2, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Valentine vs Newcastle Olympic
1:6
Jun 15, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Newcastle Olympic vs Valentine
2:2
Mar 8, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Valentine vs Newcastle Olympic
1:3
Jul 14, 2024 NPL Northern NSW
Newcastle Olympic vs Valentine
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Brymora D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Valentine Compare

Top Goalscorer Graham C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hunt E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Olympic 48 / 100
Valentine 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Olympic Valentine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newcastle Olympic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Newcastle Olympic found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Valentine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Newcastle Olympic has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Olympic VS Valentine
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Olympic

(Home)
16 Aug
Lambton Jaffas FC
2 : 0
Newcastle Olympic
08 Aug
Newcastle Olympic
1 : 2
Valentine
26 Jul
Edgeworth Eagles FC
2 : 0
Newcastle Olympic
22 Jul
Newcastle Olympic
5 : 2
Belmont Swansea United
12 Jul
Broadmeadow Magic FC
2 : 1
Newcastle Olympic
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Valentine

(Away)
16 Aug
Valentine
0 : 0
Weston Workers Bears
08 Aug
Newcastle Olympic
1 : 2
Valentine
01 Aug
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 1
Valentine
25 Jul
Valentine
1 : 0
Charlestown Azzurri
12 Jul
Valentine
3 : 2
Kahibah
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Broadmeadow Magic FC 22 15 4 3 59:23 49
2 Maitland 22 13 3 6 40:32 42
3 Weston Workers Bears 22 12 5 5 48:33 41
4 Edgeworth Eagles FC 22 11 6 5 41:31 39
5 Belmont Swansea United 22 10 5 7 47:44 35
6 Cooks Hill United 22 9 6 7 43:36 33
7 Valentine 22 7 5 10 22:39 26
8 Lambton Jaffas FC 22 7 4 11 38:33 25
9 Adamstown Rosebud 22 6 6 10 34:45 24
10 Newcastle Olympic 22 5 6 11 39:40 21
11 Kahibah 22 6 2 14 35:53 20
12 Charlestown Azzurri 22 4 2 16 25:62 14
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)