Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Newcastle Town vs Port Vale

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Newcastle Town and Port Vale finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Newcastle Town
20%
Draws
50%
Port Vale
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Port Vale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Port Vale carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Port Vale a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Newcastle Town Clean Sheet 16%
Port Vale Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Town Port Vale
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 6 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.04 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2025 Club Friendly
Newcastle Town vs Port Vale
0:0
Jul 5, 2024 Club Friendly
Newcastle Town vs Port Vale
1:3
Jul 15, 2023 Club Friendly
Newcastle Town vs Port Vale
0:0
Jul 10, 2021 Club Friendly
Newcastle Town vs Port Vale
2:6
Jul 29, 2018 Club Friendly
Newcastle Town vs Port Vale
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Town 10 / 100
Port Vale 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Town Port Vale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Port Vale Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Town found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Port Vale let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Newcastle Town stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Town VS Port Vale
0.67 Goals Scored 1.63
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Town

(Home)
05 Sept
Cleethorpes
1 : 2
Newcastle Town
29 Aug
Newcastle Town
0 : 3
Bourne
06 Sept
Belper Town
2 : 1
Newcastle Town
15 Jul
Newcastle Town
0 : 3
Macclesfield
08 Jul
Newcastle Town
1 : 7
Crewe
Page 1 of 6

Port Vale

(Away)
12 Sept
Port Vale
1 : 0
Exeter
05 Sept
Salford
1 : 0
Port Vale
01 Sept
Swindon
3 : 1
Port Vale
29 Aug
Port Vale
0 : 0
Crewe
22 Aug
Port Vale
1 : 1
Tranmere
Page 1 of 7