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Newcastle Town vs Port Vale

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Newcastle Town
15%
Draws
49%
Port Vale
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Port Vale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Port Vale have won more games recently than Newcastle Town.
  • Port Vale are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Newcastle Town Clean Sheet 11%
Port Vale Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Town Port Vale
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 6 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.12
Goals Conceded 2.28 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2025 Club Friendly
Newcastle Town vs Port Vale
0:0
Jul 5, 2024 Club Friendly
Newcastle Town vs Port Vale
1:3
Jul 15, 2023 Club Friendly
Newcastle Town vs Port Vale
0:0
Jul 10, 2021 Club Friendly
Newcastle Town vs Port Vale
2:6
Jul 29, 2018 Club Friendly
Newcastle Town vs Port Vale
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Town 10 / 100
Port Vale 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Town Port Vale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Port Vale Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Newcastle Town scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Port Vale let in goals in 61% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Port Vale's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Town VS Port Vale
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Town

(Home)
19 Sept
Anstey Nomads
2 : 1
Newcastle Town
05 Sept
Cleethorpes
1 : 2
Newcastle Town
29 Aug
Newcastle Town
0 : 3
Bourne
06 Sept
Belper Town
2 : 1
Newcastle Town
15 Jul
Newcastle Town
0 : 3
Macclesfield
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Port Vale

(Away)
19 Sept
Walsall
2 : 0
Port Vale
12 Sept
Port Vale
1 : 0
Exeter
05 Sept
Salford
1 : 0
Port Vale
01 Sept
Swindon
3 : 1
Port Vale
29 Aug
Port Vale
0 : 0
Crewe
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