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Newcastle Town vs Stoke City U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
McGuinness D.
54' Event
Jeffers R.
63' Event
Matondo J.

AI Match Summary

Stoke City U21 in this Club Friendly 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stoke City U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Newcastle Town
15%
Draws
42%
Stoke City U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newcastle Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Newcastle Town haven't matched Stoke City U21's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Stoke City U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Newcastle Town Clean Sheet 17%
Stoke City U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Town Stoke City U21
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 7
Draws 6 3
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.03 1.11
Goals Conceded 2.28 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2024 Club Friendly
Newcastle Town vs Stoke City U21
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Town Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Stoke City U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer McGuinness D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jeffers R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Town 10 / 100
Stoke City U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Town Stoke City U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stoke City U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Town's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Stoke City U21 has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Stoke City U21 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Town VS Stoke City U21
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Town

(Home)
19 Sept
Anstey Nomads
2 : 1
Newcastle Town
05 Sept
Cleethorpes
1 : 2
Newcastle Town
29 Aug
Newcastle Town
0 : 3
Bourne
06 Sept
Belper Town
2 : 1
Newcastle Town
15 Jul
Newcastle Town
0 : 3
Macclesfield
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Stoke City U21

(Away)
21 Sept
Bournemouth U21
2 : 1
Stoke City U21
16 Sept
Stoke City U21
0 : 2
B. Monchengladbach II
11 Sept
Stoke City U21
4 : 0
Wolves U21
08 Sept
Wealdstone
6 : 0
Stoke City U21
04 Sept
Stockport U21
4 : 0
Stoke City U21
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