Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Newcastle Utd vs Liverpool

England England

Premier League St. James' Park
Sun, Aug 23, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Newcastle Utd host Liverpool in the Premier League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Newcastle Utd have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Liverpool's 1.25 scored and 1.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Newcastle Utd have won 1 to Liverpool's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.56 - 1.38) back Liverpool to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Newcastle Utd
39%
Draws
31%
Liverpool
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Liverpool carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Newcastle Utd Clean Sheet 17%
Liverpool Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Utd Liverpool
Matches Played 34 34
Wins 14 15
Draws 4 9
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Premier League
Liverpool vs Newcastle Utd
4:1
Aug 25, 2025 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Liverpool
2:3
Mar 16, 2025 EFL Cup
Liverpool vs Newcastle Utd
1:2
Feb 26, 2025 Premier League
Liverpool vs Newcastle Utd
2:0
Dec 4, 2024 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Liverpool
3:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Utd 30 / 100
Liverpool 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Utd Liverpool

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Newcastle Utd scored in 79% of their last 34 outings.

Liverpool has conceded goals in 71% of their last 34 outings.

Recent resilience: Newcastle Utd stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Utd VS Liverpool
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal00000:00
2Aston Villa00000:00
3Chelsea00000:00
4Everton00000:00
5Fulham00000:00
6Liverpool00000:00
7Manchester City00000:00
8Manchester United00000:00
9Newcastle Utd00000:00
10Sunderland00000:00
11Tottenham00000:00
12Coventry00000:00
13Crystal Palace00000:00
14Hull City00000:00
15Ipswich00000:00
16Bournemouth00000:00
17Brighton00000:00
18Leeds00000:00
19Nottingham00000:00
20Brentford00000:00