Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Newcastle Utd U18 vs Bournemouth U18

England England

FA Youth Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Clarke A.
31' Event
Stuttle J.
41' Event
Holman J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-5, with Bournemouth U18 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Newcastle Utd U18
15%
Draws
21%
Bournemouth U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newcastle Utd U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Newcastle Utd U18 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Newcastle Utd U18's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Newcastle Utd U18 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bournemouth U18, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Newcastle Utd U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Bournemouth U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Utd U18 Bournemouth U18
Matches Played 31 17
Wins 19 6
Draws 0 2
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 2.13 2
Goals Conceded 1.84 2.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.90 1.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2024 FA Youth Cup
Newcastle Utd U18 vs Bournemouth U18
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Utd U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.23
Avg xA / game 1.45

Bournemouth U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Stuttle J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Clarke A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Utd U18 83 / 100
Bournemouth U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Utd U18 Bournemouth U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newcastle Utd U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Utd U18's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Bournemouth U18 conceded in 71% of 17 recent games.

Newcastle Utd U18 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Utd U18 VS Bournemouth U18
2.13 Goals Scored 2.33
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.67
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Utd U18

(Home)
19 Sept
Sunderland U18
0 : 3
Newcastle Utd U18
12 Sept
Newcastle Utd U18
0 : 2
Manchester United U18
05 Sept
Leicester U18
1 : 4
Newcastle Utd U18
29 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
6 : 1
Blackburn U18
22 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
3 : 2
Stoke City U18
Page 1 of 7

Bournemouth U18

(Away)
19 Sept
Chelsea U18
5 : 0
Bournemouth U18
12 Sept
Bournemouth U18
1 : 3
Brentford U18
05 Sept
Bournemouth U18
2 : 2
West Ham U18
29 Aug
Ipswich U18
6 : 2
Bournemouth U18
22 Aug
Bournemouth U18
7 : 4
Brighton U18
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
West Ham U18 0
Manchester City U18 2
Sheffield Wed U18 0
Reading U18 4
Burton U18 1
Tottenham U18 3
Newcastle Utd U18 0
Bournemouth U18 5
Bristol City U18 1
Charlton U18 0
QPR U18 0
Burnley U18 2
Gillingham U18 0
Sunderland U18 3
Swindon U18 2
Manchester United U18 0
Sheffield Utd U18 1
AFC Wimbledon U18 0
Brighton U18 0
Leeds U18 4
Liverpool U18 7
Arsenal U18 1
Swansea U18 0
Fulham U18 5
Coventry U18 4
Barnsley U18 2
Grimsby U18 1
Millwall U18 4
Hull U18 0
Crystal Palace U18 5
Everton U18 0
Chelsea U18 2
1/8-finals
Manchester City U18 2
Reading U18 1
Tottenham U18 6
Bournemouth U18 2
Bristol City U18 3
Burnley U18 0
Sunderland U18 1
Swindon U18 2
Sheffield Utd U18 1
Leeds U18 2
Liverpool U18 3
Fulham U18 0
Coventry U18 0
Millwall U18 3
Crystal Palace U18 1
Chelsea U18 2
Quarter-finals
Manchester City U18 2
Tottenham U18 1
Bristol City U18 1
Swindon U18 0
Leeds U18 3
Liverpool U18 1
Millwall U18 2
Chelsea U18 1
Semi-finals
Manchester City U18 1
Bristol City U18 0
Leeds U18 4
Millwall U18 3
Final
Manchester City U18 4
Leeds U18 0