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Newcastle Utd U18 vs Burnley U18 Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Premier League U18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Taylor M.
22'
Fletchman D.
50' Event
Taylor W.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Newcastle Utd U18 in this Premier League U18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Newcastle Utd U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Newcastle Utd U18
20%
Draws
32%
Burnley U18
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Newcastle Utd U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Burnley U18 haven't matched Newcastle Utd U18's recent run of results.
  • Newcastle Utd U18 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Newcastle Utd U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Burnley U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Utd U18 Burnley U18
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 20 12
Draws 1 4
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 2.15 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.82 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Premier League U18
Newcastle Utd U18 vs Burnley U18
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League U18
Burnley U18 vs Newcastle Utd U18
1:3
Mar 5, 2022 Premier League U18
Burnley U18 vs Newcastle Utd U18
2:0
Aug 14, 2021 Premier League U18
Newcastle Utd U18 vs Burnley U18
3:8
Mar 20, 2021 Premier League U18
Burnley U18 vs Newcastle Utd U18
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Utd U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Taylor M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Seldon A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Burnley U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Utd U18 83 / 100
Burnley U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Utd U18 Burnley U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newcastle Utd U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Newcastle Utd U18 scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Burnley U18's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Newcastle Utd U18 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Utd U18 VS Burnley U18
3 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Utd U18

(Home)
19 Sept
Sunderland U18
0 : 3
Newcastle Utd U18
12 Sept
Newcastle Utd U18
0 : 2
Manchester United U18
05 Sept
Leicester U18
1 : 4
Newcastle Utd U18
29 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
6 : 1
Blackburn U18
22 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
3 : 2
Stoke City U18
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Burnley U18

(Away)
19 Sept
Burnley U18
2 : 2
Nottingham U18
12 Sept
Liverpool U18
4 : 2
Burnley U18
05 Sept
Leeds U18
1 : 3
Burnley U18
29 Aug
Burnley U18
2 : 2
Sunderland U18
22 Aug
Derby U18
1 : 4
Burnley U18
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U18 26 19 3 4 96:39 60
2 Manchester United U18 26 18 2 6 65:24 56
3 Newcastle Utd U18 26 16 1 9 55:44 49
4 Everton U18 26 13 3 10 54:45 42
5 Nottingham U18 26 13 3 10 50:47 42
6 Sunderland U18 26 11 6 9 56:44 39
7 Middlesbrough U18 26 12 3 11 45:45 39
8 Liverpool U18 26 11 2 13 70:70 35
9 Blackburn U18 26 9 6 11 51:68 33
10 Derby U18 26 10 2 14 44:67 32
11 Burnley U18 26 9 3 14 49:68 30
12 Leeds U18 26 8 5 13 47:68 29
13 Wolves U18 26 5 5 16 29:55 20
14 Stoke City U18 26 5 2 19 42:69 17
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U18 28 21 4 3 88:24 67
2 Tottenham U18 28 16 6 6 70:36 54
3 Aston Villa U18 28 17 3 8 82:55 54
4 Brighton U18 28 14 7 7 63:41 49
5 Crystal Palace U18 28 14 4 10 74:52 46
6 West Brom U18 28 14 4 10 68:50 46
7 Southampton U18 28 13 3 12 65:61 42
8 West Ham U18 28 13 2 13 62:59 41
9 Leicester U18 28 10 6 12 46:53 36
10 Arsenal U18 28 9 6 13 46:57 33
11 Fulham U18 28 9 6 13 48:65 33
12 Norwich U18 28 6 8 14 47:67 26
13 Reading U18 28 6 8 14 38:66 26
14 Birmingham U18 28 6 3 19 29:88 21
15 Ipswich U18 28 6 2 20 41:93 20
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)