Sport Picks
Match Events
28'
28'
Griffiths E.
Assist: Clarke K.
59'
59'
Hutchison A.
Assist: Ghanem M.
65'
65'
Seldon A.
Assist: Alabi S.
AI Match Summary
Newcastle Utd U18 in this Premier League U18 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Newcastle Utd U18.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newcastle Utd U18
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Newcastle Utd U18 have won more games recently than Derby U18.
- Model gives Newcastle Utd U18 a 54% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Newcastle Utd U18 Clean Sheet 14%
Derby U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newcastle Utd U18 | Derby U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 12 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.2 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 2.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.56 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Premier League U18
Newcastle Utd U18 vs Derby U18
3:1
Apr 18, 2026 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Newcastle Utd U18
3:1
Nov 29, 2025 Premier League U18
Newcastle Utd U18 vs Derby U18
5:0
Feb 1, 2025 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Newcastle Utd U18
0:3
Aug 24, 2024 Premier League U18
Newcastle Utd U18 vs Derby U18
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Newcastle Utd U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Hutchison A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Seldon A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28
Derby U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Griffiths E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newcastle Utd U18 84 / 100
Derby U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newcastle Utd U18 Derby U18
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Newcastle Utd U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newcastle Utd U18's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Derby U18 has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.
Newcastle Utd U18 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Newcastle Utd U18 VS Derby U18
2.5 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Newcastle Utd U18
(Home) 19 Sept
Sunderland U18
0 : 3 Newcastle Utd U18
12 Sept
Newcastle Utd U18
0 : 2 Manchester United U18
05 Sept
Leicester U18
1 : 4 Newcastle Utd U18
29 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
6 : 1 Blackburn U18
22 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
3 : 2 Stoke City U18
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Newcastle Utd U18
0 : 2 Manchester United U18
29 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
6 : 1 Blackburn U18
22 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
3 : 2 Stoke City U18
15 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
3 : 1 Derby U18
05 May
Newcastle Utd U18
3 : 2 Leeds U18
Page 1 of 4
Derby U18
(Away) 19 Sept
Derby U18
3 : 3 Liverpool U18
12 Sept
Stoke City U18
0 : 2 Derby U18
05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2 Nottingham U18
29 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 3 Derby U18
22 Aug
Derby U18
1 : 4 Burnley U18
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Stoke City U18
0 : 2 Derby U18
29 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 3 Derby U18
15 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
3 : 1 Derby U18
02 May
Manchester City U18
5 : 3 Derby U18
11 Apr
Wolves U18
1 : 2 Derby U18
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City U18 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 26:8 | 18 |
| 2 | Newcastle Utd U18 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 19:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Manchester United U18 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16:1 | 12 |
| 4 | Nottingham U18 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:4 | 10 |
| 5 | Liverpool U18 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14:11 | 8 |
| 6 | Burnley U18 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 8 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough U18 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:12 | 8 |
| 8 | Derby U18 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:13 | 7 |
| 9 | Everton U18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:12 | 6 |
| 10 | Leeds U18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:16 | 6 |
| 11 | Blackburn U18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:20 | 6 |
| 12 | Stoke City U18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11:18 | 4 |
| 13 | Leicester U18 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:11 | 2 |
| 14 | Sunderland U18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:9 | 1 |
| 15 | Wolves U18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:18 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League U18 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham U18 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 33:9 | 16 |
| 2 | Chelsea U18 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 25:10 | 12 |
| 3 | Southampton U18 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 21:12 | 12 |
| 4 | Fulham U18 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 23:15 | 12 |
| 5 | Arsenal U18 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 6 | West Ham U18 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16:15 | 10 |
| 7 | Brighton U18 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 8 | Ipswich U18 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15:15 | 9 |
| 9 | Brentford U18 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15:15 | 9 |
| 10 | Aston Villa U18 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 8 |
| 11 | West Brom U18 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:14 | 7 |
| 12 | Norwich U18 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13:22 | 6 |
| 13 | Bournemouth U18 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14:22 | 5 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace U18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | 4 |
| 15 | Reading U18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:22 | 4 |
| 16 | Birmingham U18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:22 | 3 |
Promotion - Premier League U18 (Play Offs)
