Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Newcastle Utd U21 vs Fulham U21

England England

Premier League 2 2025/2026 Northumberland FA, Newcastle
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Neave S.
(Penalty)
36'
Ali Wahid F.
46'
Sub
Shahar L. In: Miley M.
Out: Shahar L.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2 2025/2026 game between Newcastle Utd U21 and Fulham U21 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newcastle Utd U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Newcastle Utd U21
15%
Draws
49%
Fulham U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fulham U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fulham U21 come out ahead of Newcastle Utd U21 on wins alone.
  • Fulham U21 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Newcastle Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Fulham U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Utd U21 Fulham U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.2 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Premier League 2
Newcastle Utd U21 vs Fulham U21
0:4
Feb 20, 2026 Premier League 2
Newcastle Utd U21 vs Fulham U21
3:0
Apr 13, 2024 Premier League 2
Newcastle Utd U21 vs Fulham U21
1:3
Feb 22, 2016 Premier League U21
Newcastle Utd U21 vs Fulham U21
0:3
Oct 16, 2015 Premier League U21
Fulham U21 vs Newcastle Utd U21
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Utd U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Harris A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mills M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Fulham U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Utd U21 26 / 100
Fulham U21 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Utd U21 Fulham U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fulham U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fulham U21 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Fulham U21's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Newcastle Utd U21's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Utd U21 VS Fulham U21
1.5 Goals Scored 2.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Utd U21

(Home)
19 Sept
Leeds U21
2 : 0
Newcastle Utd U21
15 Sept
York City
1 : 3
Newcastle Utd U21
08 Sept
Boreham Wood
2 : 1
Newcastle Utd U21
31 Aug
Newcastle Utd U21
0 : 4
Fulham U21
24 Aug
Newcastle Utd U21
1 : 3
Tottenham U21
Page 1 of 6

Fulham U21

(Away)
19 Sept
Chelsea U21
3 : 1
Fulham U21
11 Sept
Fulham U21
3 : 3
Aston Villa U21
08 Sept
Braintree
2 : 1
Fulham U21
31 Aug
Newcastle Utd U21
0 : 4
Fulham U21
26 Aug
Fulham U21
1 : 4
Dortmund II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U21 20 14 1 5 52:25 43
2 Manchester United U21 20 13 4 3 43:26 43
3 Manchester City U21 20 13 1 6 59:21 40
4 Fulham U21 20 11 5 4 48:32 38
5 Ipswich U21 20 12 2 6 45:45 38
6 Southampton U21 20 10 6 4 36:29 36
7 Liverpool U21 20 11 2 7 49:36 35
8 Tottenham U21 20 11 2 7 42:32 35
9 Leicester U21 20 9 4 7 48:42 31
10 Crystal Palace U21 20 9 4 7 36:31 31
11 Aston Villa U21 20 9 4 7 32:35 31
12 Brighton U21 20 8 6 6 38:25 30
13 West Ham U21 20 8 6 6 44:35 30
14 Arsenal U21 20 8 5 7 28:33 29
15 Sunderland U21 20 8 4 8 41:40 28
16 Middlesbrough U21 20 7 6 7 37:28 27
17 Nottingham U21 20 8 2 10 23:23 26
18 Everton U21 20 7 4 9 33:36 25
19 Reading U21 20 7 4 9 29:36 25
20 Stoke City U21 20 7 4 9 29:42 25
21 Newcastle Utd U21 20 6 6 8 30:35 24
22 Wolves U21 20 6 5 9 30:45 23
23 Norwich U21 20 5 5 10 32:42 20
24 Derby U21 20 5 5 10 26:44 20
25 Leeds U21 20 5 3 12 28:40 18
26 West Brom U21 20 5 3 12 26:41 18
27 Birmingham U21 20 4 5 11 26:52 17
28 Blackburn U21 20 4 2 14 27:46 14
29 Burnley U21 20 3 4 13 22:42 13
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