Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Newcastle Utd U23 vs Nottingham U23

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 Northumberland FA, Newcastle
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Young J.
31' Event
Swan W.
Assist: Konate A.
40'
Konate A.

AI Match Summary

Nottingham U23 in this Premier League 2 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nottingham U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Newcastle Utd U23
15%
Draws
65%
Nottingham U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nottingham U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nottingham U23 lately — more wins on the board than Newcastle Utd U23.
  • Nottingham U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Newcastle Utd U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Nottingham U23 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Utd U23 Nottingham U23
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 3 5
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.72 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.06 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2022 Premier League 2
Newcastle Utd U23 vs Nottingham U23
0:1
Nov 22, 2021 Premier League 2
Nottingham U23 vs Newcastle Utd U23
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Utd U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Nottingham U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Swan W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Utd U23 10 / 100
Nottingham U23 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Utd U23 Nottingham U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nottingham U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Utd U23 found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Nottingham U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Newcastle Utd U23 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Utd U23 VS Nottingham U23
1.88 Goals Scored 3
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Utd U23

(Home)
02 May
Aston Villa U23
1 : 2
Newcastle Utd U23
25 Apr
Newcastle Utd U23
2 : 4
Southampton U23
18 Apr
Wolves U23
4 : 2
Newcastle Utd U23
08 Apr
Burnley U23
5 : 1
Newcastle Utd U23
01 Apr
Middlesbrough U23
4 : 2
Newcastle Utd U23
Page 1 of 7

Nottingham U23

(Away)
15 May
Stoke City U23
2 : 0
Nottingham U23
29 Apr
Birmingham U23
0 : 3
Nottingham U23
22 Apr
Nottingham U23
1 : 1
Middlesbrough U23
04 Apr
Nottingham U23
2 : 0
Stoke City U23
01 Apr
Nottingham U23
1 : 0
Wolves U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)