Sport Picks
Newcastle Utd vs Bournemouth Prediction & H2H Stats
England
Premier League 2025/2026 St. James' Park, Newcastle 
Match Events
32'
32'
Tavernier M.
Assist: Rayan
46'
46'
Sub
Hall L. In: Trippier K.
Out: Hall L.
52'
52'
Christie R.
AI Match Summary
Bournemouth in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bournemouth.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Newcastle Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Bournemouth at 2.03 per game, Newcastle Utd at 1.61.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Newcastle Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Bournemouth Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newcastle Utd | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 14 |
| Losses | 14 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.87 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Bournemouth
2:2
Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Bournemouth
1:2
Jan 10, 2026 FA Cup
Newcastle Utd vs Bournemouth
4:3
Sep 21, 2025 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Newcastle Utd
0:0
Jan 18, 2025 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Bournemouth
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Newcastle Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Osula W.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Bournemouth Compare
Top Goalscorer Tavernier M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Truffert A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newcastle Utd 30 / 100
Bournemouth 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newcastle Utd Bournemouth
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newcastle Utd scored in 94% of their last 31 games.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: Bournemouth conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: Newcastle Utd stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Newcastle Utd VS Bournemouth
1.75 Goals Scored 2.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Newcastle Utd
(Home) 19 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 1 Hull City
14 Sept
Leeds
4 : 1 Newcastle Utd
08 Sept
Millwall
0 : 1 Newcastle Utd
05 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2 Bournemouth
29 Aug
Tottenham
0 : 2 Newcastle Utd
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 1 Hull City
05 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2 Bournemouth
26 Aug
Newcastle Utd
3 : 2 West Brom
23 Aug
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2 Liverpool
16 Aug
Newcastle Utd
1 : 2 Strasbourg
Page 1 of 4
Bournemouth
(Away) 20 Sept
Bournemouth
0 : 1 Liverpool
17 Sept
Real Sociedad
1 : 2 Bournemouth
12 Sept
Bournemouth
2 : 2 Brentford
08 Sept
Bournemouth
4 : 0 Lincoln City
05 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2 Bournemouth
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Real Sociedad
1 : 2 Bournemouth
05 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2 Bournemouth
23 Aug
Manchester City
2 : 1 Bournemouth
15 Aug
Mainz
2 : 1 Bournemouth
08 Aug
Betis
2 : 2 Bournemouth
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | 20 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)
