Sport Picks
Newcastle Utd vs Bournemouth
England
Premier League 2025/2026 St. James' Park, Newcastle 
Match Events
32'
32'
Tavernier M.
Assist: Rayan
46'
46'
Sub
Hall L. In: Trippier K.
Out: Hall L.
52'
52'
Christie R.
AI Match Summary
Bournemouth in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bournemouth.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Newcastle Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Bournemouth haven't matched Newcastle Utd's recent run of results.
- Model gives Newcastle Utd a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Newcastle Utd Clean Sheet 12%
Bournemouth Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newcastle Utd | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 14 |
| Losses | 14 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Bournemouth
1:2
Jan 10, 2026 FA Cup
Newcastle Utd vs Bournemouth
4:3
Sep 21, 2025 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Newcastle Utd
0:0
Jan 18, 2025 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Bournemouth
1:4
Aug 25, 2024 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Newcastle Utd
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Newcastle Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Osula W.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Bournemouth Compare
Top Goalscorer Tavernier M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Truffert A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newcastle Utd 35 / 100
Bournemouth 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newcastle Utd Bournemouth
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newcastle Utd scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: Bournemouth conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
Recent resilience: Newcastle Utd stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Newcastle Utd VS Bournemouth
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Newcastle Utd
(Home) 25 Jul
Gateshead
1 : 1 Newcastle Utd
18 Jul
Newcastle Utd
3 : 0 Darlington FC
24 May
Fulham
2 : 0 Newcastle Utd
17 May
Newcastle Utd
3 : 1 West Ham
10 May
Nottingham
1 : 1 Newcastle Utd
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Newcastle Utd
3 : 0 Darlington FC
17 May
Newcastle Utd
3 : 1 West Ham
02 May
Newcastle Utd
3 : 1 Brighton
18 Apr
Newcastle Utd
1 : 2 Bournemouth
22 Mar
Newcastle Utd
1 : 2 Sunderland
Page 1 of 3
Bournemouth
(Away) 24 Jul
Bournemouth
4 : 1 St. Pauli
24 May
Nottingham
1 : 1 Bournemouth
19 May
Bournemouth
1 : 1 Manchester City
09 May
Fulham
0 : 1 Bournemouth
03 May
Bournemouth
3 : 0 Crystal Palace
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Nottingham
1 : 1 Bournemouth
09 May
Fulham
0 : 1 Bournemouth
18 Apr
Newcastle Utd
1 : 2 Bournemouth
11 Apr
Arsenal
1 : 2 Bournemouth
14 Mar
Burnley
0 : 0 Bournemouth
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | 20 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)
