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Newcastle Utd vs Everton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League St. James' Park, Newcastle
Mon, Nov 2, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Newcastle Utd host Everton in the Premier League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Newcastle Utd at 1.41 goals for, 1.9 against; Everton at 1.45 for, 1.24 against. Head-to-head, Newcastle Utd have won 1 to Everton's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 12, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.63, favoring Everton. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Newcastle Utd
15%
Draws
46%
Everton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Everton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Everton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Newcastle Utd Clean Sheet 14%
Everton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Utd Everton
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.41 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Newcastle Utd vs Everton
1:3
Feb 28, 2026 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Everton
2:3
Nov 29, 2025 Premier League
Everton vs Newcastle Utd
1:4
May 25, 2025 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Everton
0:1
Oct 5, 2024 Premier League
Everton vs Newcastle Utd
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Utd 31 / 100
Everton 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Utd Everton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Everton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Utd scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Everton conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Newcastle Utd went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Utd VS Everton
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Utd

(Home)
17 Oct
Newcastle Utd
0 : 1
Aston Villa
12 Oct
Coventry
4 : 1
Newcastle Utd
19 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 1
Hull City
14 Sept
Leeds
4 : 1
Newcastle Utd
08 Sept
Millwall
0 : 1
Newcastle Utd
Page 1 of 6

Everton

(Away)
24 Oct
Arsenal
2 : 0
Everton
17 Oct
Everton
0 : 2
Chelsea
11 Oct
Hull City
2 : 2
Everton
19 Sept
Everton
1 : 0
Ipswich
16 Sept
Everton
1 : 0
Wolves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City 7 7 0 0 19:7 21
2 Arsenal 7 6 0 1 11:5 18
3 Brighton 7 5 1 1 23:5 16
4 Chelsea 7 4 1 2 17:13 13
5 Liverpool 7 3 3 1 9:8 12
6 Brentford 7 2 4 1 13:8 10
7 Leeds 7 2 4 1 9:6 10
8 Everton 7 2 4 1 8:7 10
9 Ipswich 8 3 1 4 12:16 10
10 Hull City 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
11 Newcastle Utd 7 2 2 3 10:14 8
12 Aston Villa 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
13 Manchester United 7 1 4 2 10:10 7
14 Crystal Palace 7 2 1 4 9:17 7
15 Bournemouth 7 1 3 3 9:13 6
16 Tottenham 7 1 3 3 6:10 6
17 Nottingham 8 1 3 4 6:10 6
18 Coventry 7 2 0 5 6:14 6
19 Fulham 7 1 2 4 7:10 5
20 Sunderland 7 1 1 5 6:14 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)