Sport Picks
Newcastle Utd vs Fulham
England
EFL Cup 2025/2026 St. James' Park, Newcastle 
Match Events
10'
10'
Wissa Y.
16'
16'
Lukic S.
Assist: Robinson A.
23'
23'
Schar F.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Newcastle Utd advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Newcastle Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Newcastle Utd come out ahead of Fulham on wins alone.
- Newcastle Utd are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Newcastle Utd have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Newcastle Utd, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Newcastle Utd Clean Sheet 13%
Fulham Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newcastle Utd | Fulham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2026 Premier League
Fulham vs Newcastle Utd
2:0
Dec 17, 2025 EFL Cup
Newcastle Utd vs Fulham
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Fulham
2:1
Feb 1, 2025 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Fulham
1:2
Sep 21, 2024 Premier League
Fulham vs Newcastle Utd
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Newcastle Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Wissa Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Miley L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Fulham Compare
Top Goalscorer Lukic S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newcastle Utd 40 / 100
Fulham 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newcastle Utd Fulham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newcastle Utd scored in 93% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Fulham conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Newcastle Utd has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Newcastle Utd VS Fulham
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Newcastle Utd
(Home) 19 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 1 Hull City
14 Sept
Leeds
4 : 1 Newcastle Utd
08 Sept
Millwall
0 : 1 Newcastle Utd
05 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2 Bournemouth
29 Aug
Tottenham
0 : 2 Newcastle Utd
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 1 Hull City
05 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2 Bournemouth
26 Aug
Newcastle Utd
3 : 2 West Brom
23 Aug
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2 Liverpool
16 Aug
Newcastle Utd
1 : 2 Strasbourg
Page 1 of 4
Fulham
(Away) 20 Sept
Fulham
1 : 1 Manchester United
15 Sept
West Ham
2 : 3 Fulham
12 Sept
Liverpool
0 : 0 Fulham
05 Sept
Fulham
2 : 3 Crystal Palace
30 Aug
Sunderland
1 : 0 Fulham
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
West Ham
2 : 3 Fulham
12 Sept
Liverpool
0 : 0 Fulham
30 Aug
Sunderland
1 : 0 Fulham
12 Aug
Malaga
2 : 2 Fulham
01 Aug
SC Farense
1 : 2 Fulham
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Barrow 0
Preston 1
Wrexham 4
Hull City 3
Portsmouth 1
Reading 2
Gillingham 1
AFC Wimbledon 2
Burnley -
TBD -
West Brom 1
Derby 2
Cardiff 2
Swindon 1
Cheltenham 2
Exeter 0
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
West Ham -
Everton -
TBD -
Chesterfield 0
Mansfield 2
Tranmere 1
Burton 2
Harrogate 1
Lincoln City 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 2
Sheffield Utd 1
Blackpool 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 3
Fleetwood Town 2
Salford 0
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 1
Colchester 0
TBD -
Brighton -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford 1
Norwich 2
Northampton 0
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newport 0
Millwall 1
Coventry 1
Luton 0
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Walsall 0
Blackburn 1
Bradford City 2
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Peterborough 1
Middlesbrough 0
Doncaster 4
Wigan 1
Notts County 0
Stockport County 3
Crewe 1
Bromley 2
Ipswich 1
Leyton Orient 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham -
TBD -
Bristol City 2
Milton Keynes Dons 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Charlton 3
Stevenage 1
Swansea 3
Crawley Town 1
Plymouth 3
QPR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland -
TBD -
Huddersfield 3
Leicester 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City -
Bolton 3
Sheffield Wed 4
TBD -
Leeds -
Grimsby 3
Shrewsbury 1
TBD -
Manchester United -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Preston 2
Wrexham 3
Reading 2
AFC Wimbledon 1
Burnley 2
Derby 1
Cardiff 3
Cheltenham 0
Wolves 3
West Ham 2
Everton 2
Mansfield 0
Burton 0
Lincoln City 1
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 2
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Norwich 0
Southampton 3
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Millwall 2
Coventry 1
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Stoke City 0
Bradford City 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Accrington 0
Doncaster 2
Wigan 1
Stockport County 0
Bromley 1
Wycombe 2
Fulham 2
Bristol City 0
Cambridge Utd 3
Charlton 1
Swansea 2
Plymouth 1
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland 1
Huddersfield 2
TBD -
Manchester City -
Sheffield Wed 2
Leeds 1
Grimsby 3
Manchester United 2
Bournemouth 0
Brentford 2
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Wrexham 2
Reading 0
Burnley 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 2
Everton 0
Lincoln City 1
Chelsea 2
Port Vale 0
Arsenal 2
Barnsley 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool 2
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace 2
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 4
Bradford City 1
Tottenham 3
Doncaster 0
Wigan 0
Wycombe 2
Fulham 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Swansea 3
Nottingham 2
Huddersfield 0
Manchester City 2
Sheffield Wed 0
Grimsby 1
Brentford 2
Aston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Wrexham 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 3
Chelsea 4
Arsenal 2
Brighton 0
Liverpool 0
Crystal Palace 3
Newcastle Utd 2
Tottenham 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham 2
Swansea 1
Manchester City 3
Grimsby 0
Brentford 5
Quarter-finals
Cardiff 1
Chelsea 3
Arsenal 2
Crystal Palace 1
Newcastle Utd 2
Fulham 1
Manchester City 2
Brentford 0
Semi-finals
Chelsea 2
Arsenal 4
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Final
Arsenal 0
Manchester City 2
