Sport Picks
Newcastle Utd vs Liverpool - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Premier League St. James' Park, Newcastle 
Match Events
5'
5'
Elanga A.
Assist: Osula W.
25'
25'
Wissa Y.
30'
30'
Kerkez M.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Newcastle Utd and Liverpool finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Liverpool
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Liverpool carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Liverpool a 57% chance of winning this.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Newcastle Utd Clean Sheet 12%
Liverpool Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newcastle Utd | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Liverpool
2:2
Jan 31, 2026 Premier League
Liverpool vs Newcastle Utd
4:1
Aug 25, 2025 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Liverpool
2:3
Mar 16, 2025 EFL Cup
Liverpool vs Newcastle Utd
1:2
Feb 26, 2025 Premier League
Liverpool vs Newcastle Utd
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Newcastle Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Elanga A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Willock J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Liverpool Compare
Top Goalscorer Gakpo C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newcastle Utd 27 / 100
Liverpool 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newcastle Utd Liverpool
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Liverpool Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Newcastle Utd scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Liverpool has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Recent resilience: Newcastle Utd stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Newcastle Utd VS Liverpool
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Newcastle Utd
(Home) 25 Oct
Crystal Palace
0 : 2 Newcastle Utd
17 Oct
Newcastle Utd
0 : 1 Aston Villa
12 Oct
Coventry
4 : 1 Newcastle Utd
19 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 1 Hull City
14 Sept
Leeds
4 : 1 Newcastle Utd
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Newcastle Utd
0 : 1 Aston Villa
19 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 1 Hull City
05 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2 Bournemouth
26 Aug
Newcastle Utd
3 : 2 West Brom
23 Aug
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2 Liverpool
Page 1 of 3
Liverpool
(Away) 25 Oct
Liverpool
2 : 0 Brighton
20 Oct
Liverpool
4 : 3 Villarreal
17 Oct
Brentford
1 : 2 Liverpool
14 Oct
LASK Linz
3 : 6 Liverpool
11 Oct
Liverpool
0 : 3 Manchester City
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Brentford
1 : 2 Liverpool
14 Oct
LASK Linz
3 : 6 Liverpool
20 Sept
Bournemouth
0 : 1 Liverpool
04 Sept
Ipswich
0 : 2 Liverpool
23 Aug
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2 Liverpool
Page 1 of 2
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20:9 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13:5 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 23:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | 15 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 6 | Brentford | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14:9 | 11 |
| 7 | Leeds | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 8 | Newcastle Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 10 | Hull City | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 11 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 9 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 15 | Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 16 | Manchester United | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | 7 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:19 | 7 |
| 18 | Nottingham | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | 6 |
| 19 | Coventry | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:15 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | 5 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
