Sport Picks
Newcastle Utd vs West Brom - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
EFL Cup St. James' Park, Newcastle 
Match Events
18'
18'
Steur S.
19'
19'
Price I.
38'
38'
Toure B.
Assist: Dedic A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: West Brom
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- West Brom have won more games recently than Newcastle Utd.
- West Brom are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- West Brom arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Newcastle Utd, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Newcastle Utd Clean Sheet 17%
West Brom Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newcastle Utd | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.82 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 26, 2026 EFL Cup
Newcastle Utd vs West Brom
3:2
Mar 7, 2021 Premier League
West Brom vs Newcastle Utd
0:0
Dec 12, 2020 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs West Brom
2:1
Mar 3, 2020 FA Cup
West Brom vs Newcastle Utd
2:3
Apr 28, 2018 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs West Brom
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Newcastle Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Barnes H.
2 Goals Assists Leader Toure B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
West Brom Compare
Top Goalscorer Price I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newcastle Utd 15 / 100
West Brom 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newcastle Utd West Brom
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick West Brom Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newcastle Utd's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
West Brom let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Newcastle Utd remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Newcastle Utd VS West Brom
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Newcastle Utd
(Home) 29 Oct
Everton
3 : 1 Newcastle Utd
25 Oct
Crystal Palace
0 : 2 Newcastle Utd
17 Oct
Newcastle Utd
0 : 1 Aston Villa
12 Oct
Coventry
4 : 1 Newcastle Utd
19 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 1 Hull City
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Newcastle Utd
0 : 1 Aston Villa
19 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 1 Hull City
05 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2 Bournemouth
26 Aug
Newcastle Utd
3 : 2 West Brom
23 Aug
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2 Liverpool
Page 1 of 3
West Brom
(Away) 31 Oct
West Ham
1 : 3 West Brom
24 Oct
Preston
1 : 1 West Brom
17 Oct
West Brom
3 : 2 Blackburn
13 Oct
Wrexham
1 : 2 West Brom
10 Oct
West Brom
0 : 1 Birmingham
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
West Ham
1 : 3 West Brom
24 Oct
Preston
1 : 1 West Brom
13 Oct
Wrexham
1 : 2 West Brom
20 Sept
Wolves
1 : 0 West Brom
09 Sept
Derby
0 : 1 West Brom
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
Everton 1
Wolves 0
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Norwich 0
Manchester United 2
Brighton 3
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Coventry 1
Aston Villa 3
1/8-finals
Fleetwood Town 2
Arsenal 1
Everton 3
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 3
Brighton 2
Bradford City 2
Peterborough 0
Fulham 0
Crystal Palace 1
Sunderland 3
Brentford 2
Liverpool 2
Chelsea 1
Bournemouth 3
Aston Villa 0
Quarter-finals
Fleetwood Town -
Everton -
Manchester City -
Bradford City -
Crystal Palace -
Sunderland -
Liverpool -
Bournemouth -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
