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Newcastle Utd W vs Burnley W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

WSL 2 St. James' Park, Newcastle
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Newcastle Utd W host Burnley W in the WSL 2. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Burnley W have shipped 0.82 goals a game lately, while Newcastle Utd W have conceded 1.03 and scored 1.53. Past meetings favor Newcastle Utd W slightly — 2-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 30, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (2.19 - 0.76) back Burnley W to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Newcastle Utd W
15%
Draws
34%
Burnley W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newcastle Utd W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Burnley W have won more games recently than Newcastle Utd W.
  • Win probability leans Newcastle Utd W's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Newcastle Utd W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Newcastle Utd W Clean Sheet 20%
Burnley W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Utd W Burnley W
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 19
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.53 2.68
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Newcastle Utd W vs Burnley W
3:1
Feb 11, 2024 Women's National League North
Burnley W vs Newcastle Utd W
0:3
Oct 15, 2023 Women's National League North
Newcastle Utd W vs Burnley W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Utd W 67 / 100
Burnley W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Utd W Burnley W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newcastle Utd W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Utd W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Burnley W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Burnley W has conceded goals in 36% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Utd W VS Burnley W
2.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Utd W

(Home)
21 Oct
Everton W
2 : 0
Newcastle Utd W
18 Oct
Newcastle Utd W
0 : 1
Sunderland W
04 Oct
Durham W
0 : 3
Newcastle Utd W
30 Sept
Aston Villa W
3 : 1
Newcastle Utd W
27 Sept
Newcastle Utd W
4 : 0
Leicester W
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Burnley W

(Away)
21 Oct
Burnley W
0 : 2
Aston Villa W
18 Oct
Burnley W
3 : 2
Durham W
04 Oct
Nottingham W
2 : 0
Burnley W
26 Sept
Burnley W
0 : 0
Bristol City W
18 Sept
Wolverhampton W
3 : 0
Burnley W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newcastle Utd W 5 5 0 0 14:1 15
2 Sunderland W 5 4 1 0 11:4 13
3 Ipswich W 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
4 Nottingham W 5 2 3 0 8:5 9
5 Wolverhampton W 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
6 Bristol City W 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
7 Southampton FC W 5 1 3 1 5:4 6
8 Leicester W 5 2 0 3 6:10 6
9 Sheffield Utd W 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
10 Watford W 5 0 3 2 6:11 3
11 Burnley W 5 0 2 3 1:7 2
12 Durham W 5 0 0 5 5:16 0
Promotion - WSL 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - WSL (Relegation)