Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Newcastle Utd W vs Southampton FC W

England England

WSL 2 Gateshead International Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Newcastle Utd W play Southampton FC W in the WSL 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Newcastle Utd W averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Southampton FC W averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Newcastle Utd W won 2, Southampton FC W won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 8, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Newcastle Utd W and 1.19 for Southampton FC W. This points to a Newcastle Utd W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Newcastle Utd W
28%
Draws
50%
Southampton FC W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Southampton FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Southampton FC W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Newcastle Utd W.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Southampton FC W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in WSL 2 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Newcastle Utd W Clean Sheet 20%
Southampton FC W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Utd W Southampton FC W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 10 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 WSL 2
Southampton FC W vs Newcastle Utd W
1:2
Dec 8, 2025 WSL 2
Newcastle Utd W vs Southampton FC W
1:0
Feb 2, 2025 WSL 2
Southampton FC W vs Newcastle Utd W
2:2
Nov 17, 2024 WSL 2
Newcastle Utd W vs Southampton FC W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Utd W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nobbs J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Southampton FC W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Utd W 24 / 100
Southampton FC W 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Utd W Southampton FC W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Utd W scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Southampton FC W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Newcastle Utd W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Southampton FC W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Utd W VS Southampton FC W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham W22142646:2444
2Crystal Palace W22135444:2644
3Charlton W22126431:2142
4Bristol City W22114747:3137
5Southampton FC W22105744:2635
6Newcastle Utd W2289532:2533
7Nottingham W22931027:3530
8Sunderland W22661028:3524
9Ipswich W22651126:4223
10Durham W22571027:3522
11Sheffield Utd W22461221:4318
12Portsmouth W22421623:5314