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Newcastle W vs Western Sydney Wanderers W

Australia Australia

A-League Women No. 2 Sportsground
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Allan L.
Assist: Davis C.
35'
Harada E.
41'
Allan L.

AI Match Summary

Newcastle W host Western Sydney Wanderers W in the A-League Women. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Newcastle W at 1.75 goals for, 2 against; Western Sydney Wanderers W at 1 for, 1.25 against. Past meetings favor Western Sydney Wanderers W slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 13, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.50, favoring Newcastle W. Newcastle W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Newcastle W
17%
Draws
13%
Western Sydney Wanderers W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Newcastle W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Newcastle W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Western Sydney Wanderers W.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Newcastle W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in A-League Women provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Newcastle W Clean Sheet 16%
Western Sydney Wanderers W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle W Western Sydney Wanderers W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 2 5
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 A-League Women
Western Sydney Wanderers W vs Newcastle W
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 A-League Women
Newcastle W vs Western Sydney Wanderers W
1:0
Feb 14, 2025 A-League Women
Western Sydney Wanderers W vs Newcastle W
4:1
Nov 3, 2024 A-League Women
Newcastle W vs Western Sydney Wanderers W
2:2
Feb 9, 2024 A-League Women
Western Sydney Wanderers W vs Newcastle W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle W Compare

Top Goalscorer Allan L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Western Sydney Wanderers W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle W 66 / 100
Western Sydney Wanderers W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle W Western Sydney Wanderers W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle W scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Western Sydney Wanderers W let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Newcastle W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Western Sydney Wanderers W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle W VS Western Sydney Wanderers W
1.75 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Melbourne City W20124436:2040
2Wellington Phoenix W20104638:1734
3Canberra W2094730:2431
4Brisbane Roar W2094737:3931
5Adelaide W2093824:2630
6Melbourne Victory W2084827:2428
7Central Coast W2077627:2628
8Perth W20731020:3024
9Newcastle W20721130:3623
10Sydney W2047918:2919
11Western Sydney Wanderers W20541118:3419