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Newells Old Boys 2 vs Rosario Central 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Newells Old Boys 2 Logo

Newells Old Boys 2

3 - 0
FT
Rosario Central 2 Logo

Rosario Central 2

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Amadio J.
25' Event
Castelli G.
42' Event
Amadio J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League game between Newells Old Boys 2 and Rosario Central 2 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newells Old Boys 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Newells Old Boys 2
30%
Draws
33%
Rosario Central 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Newells Old Boys 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Newells Old Boys 2 come out ahead of Rosario Central 2 on wins alone.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Newells Old Boys 2 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Newells Old Boys 2 Clean Sheet 68%
Rosario Central 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newells Old Boys 2 Rosario Central 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 8 10
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2026 Reserve League
Newells Old Boys 2 vs Rosario Central 2
3:0
Apr 21, 2026 Reserve League
Rosario Central 2 vs Newells Old Boys 2
3:3
Sep 5, 2025 Reserve League
Rosario Central 2 vs Newells Old Boys 2
3:0
Mar 27, 2025 Reserve League
Newells Old Boys 2 vs Rosario Central 2
1:0
Sep 7, 2024 Reserve League
Rosario Central 2 vs Newells Old Boys 2
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newells Old Boys 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Amadio J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Castelli G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Rosario Central 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newells Old Boys 2 86 / 100
Rosario Central 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newells Old Boys 2 Rosario Central 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newells Old Boys 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newells Old Boys 2 scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Rosario Central 2 has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Newells Old Boys 2 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Newells Old Boys 2 VS Rosario Central 2
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Newells Old Boys 2

(Home)
06 Oct
Newells Old Boys 2
1 : 1
Estudiantes L.P. 2
30 Sept
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2
1 : 1
Newells Old Boys 2
24 Sept
Newells Old Boys 2
3 : 0
Rosario Central 2
17 Sept
Newells Old Boys 2
4 : 0
San Martin S.J. 2
10 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia 2
1 : 0
Newells Old Boys 2
Page 1 of 6

Rosario Central 2

(Away)
06 Oct
Gimnasia L.P. 2
2 : 2
Rosario Central 2
30 Sept
Rosario Central 2
2 : 0
Union de Santa Fe 2
24 Sept
Newells Old Boys 2
3 : 0
Rosario Central 2
16 Sept
Atl. Tucuman 2
0 : 1
Rosario Central 2
10 Sept
Rosario Central 2
0 : 3
Godoy Cruz 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 2 12 5 7 0 20:10 22
2 Velez Sarsfield 2 12 5 5 2 12:4 20
3 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 12 6 2 4 14:12 20
4 Rosario Central 2 12 5 5 2 17:16 20
5 Gimnasia L.P. 2 12 4 5 3 13:8 17
6 Sarmiento Junin 2 12 4 5 3 11:8 17
7 Godoy Cruz 2 12 4 5 3 14:12 17
8 San Lorenzo 2 12 5 2 5 13:11 17
9 Talleres Cordoba 2 12 4 5 3 12:11 17
10 Union de Santa Fe 2 12 3 7 2 17:10 16
11 Instituto 2 12 3 6 3 15:16 15
12 Atl. Tucuman 2 12 4 3 5 9:13 15
13 Tigre 2 12 4 2 6 15:20 14
14 Racing Club 2 12 2 7 3 19:20 13
15 Aldosivi 2 12 2 5 5 10:14 11
16 Argentinos Jrs 2 12 2 5 5 7:12 11
17 Banfield 2 12 2 3 7 10:22 9
18 Barracas Central 2 12 1 5 6 8:19 8
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente 2 12 8 3 1 25:9 27
2 Lanus 2 12 8 2 2 23:13 26
3 Deportivo Riestra 2 12 7 2 3 22:11 23
4 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 12 6 5 1 13:7 23
5 Boca Juniors 2 12 6 4 2 16:8 22
6 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 12 6 4 2 19:17 22
7 Estudiantes L.P. 2 12 6 3 3 19:11 21
8 Atl. Rafaela 2 12 5 4 3 14:14 19
9 Huracan 2 12 5 2 5 14:10 17
10 Quilmes 2 12 4 4 4 10:10 16
11 Newells Old Boys 2 12 3 5 4 14:12 14
12 Defensa y Justicia 2 12 2 6 4 18:19 12
13 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 12 3 3 6 10:19 12
14 San Martin S.J. 2 12 2 4 6 9:21 10
15 Ind. Rivadavia 2 12 2 3 7 13:23 9
16 Colon Santa Fe 2 12 2 2 8 8:17 8
17 Platense 2 12 0 7 5 6:15 7
18 Ferro 2 12 1 3 8 9:24 6
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)