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Newells Old Boys 2 vs San Martin S.J. 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Grondona T.
32' Event
Barrio G.
65' Event
Grondona T.

AI Match Summary

Newells Old Boys 2 in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Newells Old Boys 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Newells Old Boys 2
30%
Draws
8%
San Martin S.J. 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Newells Old Boys 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

8% / Low Confidence
  • San Martin S.J. 2 haven't matched Newells Old Boys 2's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Reserve League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Newells Old Boys 2 Clean Sheet 20%
San Martin S.J. 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newells Old Boys 2 San Martin S.J. 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 4
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.38 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.9 2.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Reserve League
Newells Old Boys 2 vs San Martin S.J. 2
4:0
Apr 14, 2026 Reserve League
San Martin S.J. 2 vs Newells Old Boys 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newells Old Boys 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Grondona T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Barrio G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

San Martin S.J. 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newells Old Boys 2 36 / 100
San Martin S.J. 2 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newells Old Boys 2 San Martin S.J. 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Martin S.J. 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newells Old Boys 2 scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

San Martin S.J. 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Newells Old Boys 2 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newells Old Boys 2 VS San Martin S.J. 2
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Newells Old Boys 2

(Home)
06 Oct
Newells Old Boys 2
1 : 1
Estudiantes L.P. 2
30 Sept
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2
1 : 1
Newells Old Boys 2
24 Sept
Newells Old Boys 2
3 : 0
Rosario Central 2
17 Sept
Newells Old Boys 2
4 : 0
San Martin S.J. 2
10 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia 2
1 : 0
Newells Old Boys 2
Page 1 of 6

San Martin S.J. 2

(Away)
08 Oct
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2
3 : 2
San Martin S.J. 2
01 Oct
San Martin S.J. 2
0 : 2
Lanus 2
25 Sept
San Martin S.J. 2
0 : 1
Godoy Cruz 2
17 Sept
Newells Old Boys 2
4 : 0
San Martin S.J. 2
09 Sept
San Martin S.J. 2
1 : 1
Defensa y Justicia 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 2 12 5 7 0 20:10 22
2 Velez Sarsfield 2 12 5 5 2 12:4 20
3 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 12 6 2 4 14:12 20
4 Rosario Central 2 12 5 5 2 17:16 20
5 Gimnasia L.P. 2 12 4 5 3 13:8 17
6 Sarmiento Junin 2 12 4 5 3 11:8 17
7 Godoy Cruz 2 12 4 5 3 14:12 17
8 San Lorenzo 2 12 5 2 5 13:11 17
9 Talleres Cordoba 2 12 4 5 3 12:11 17
10 Union de Santa Fe 2 12 3 7 2 17:10 16
11 Instituto 2 12 3 6 3 15:16 15
12 Atl. Tucuman 2 12 4 3 5 9:13 15
13 Tigre 2 12 4 2 6 15:20 14
14 Racing Club 2 12 2 7 3 19:20 13
15 Aldosivi 2 12 2 5 5 10:14 11
16 Argentinos Jrs 2 12 2 5 5 7:12 11
17 Banfield 2 12 2 3 7 10:22 9
18 Barracas Central 2 12 1 5 6 8:19 8
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente 2 12 8 3 1 25:9 27
2 Lanus 2 12 8 2 2 23:13 26
3 Deportivo Riestra 2 12 7 2 3 22:11 23
4 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 12 6 5 1 13:7 23
5 Boca Juniors 2 12 6 4 2 16:8 22
6 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 12 6 4 2 19:17 22
7 Estudiantes L.P. 2 12 6 3 3 19:11 21
8 Atl. Rafaela 2 12 5 4 3 14:14 19
9 Huracan 2 12 5 2 5 14:10 17
10 Quilmes 2 12 4 4 4 10:10 16
11 Newells Old Boys 2 12 3 5 4 14:12 14
12 Defensa y Justicia 2 12 2 6 4 18:19 12
13 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 12 3 3 6 10:19 12
14 San Martin S.J. 2 12 2 4 6 9:21 10
15 Ind. Rivadavia 2 12 2 3 7 13:23 9
16 Colon Santa Fe 2 12 2 2 8 8:17 8
17 Platense 2 12 0 7 5 6:15 7
18 Ferro 2 12 1 3 8 9:24 6
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)