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Newells Old Boys vs Banfield - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Adoryan T.
44'
Gomez J.
46'
Sub
Ramirez I. In: Coccaro M.
Out: Ramirez I.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Profesional game between Newells Old Boys and Banfield finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newells Old Boys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Newells Old Boys
35%
Draws
30%
Banfield
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Banfield come out ahead of Newells Old Boys on wins alone.
  • Model gives Newells Old Boys a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Banfield have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Newells Old Boys Clean Sheet 68%
Banfield Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newells Old Boys Banfield
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 11 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Banfield
2:1
Feb 21, 2026 Liga Profesional
Banfield vs Newells Old Boys
3:0
Jul 20, 2025 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Banfield
1:2
Jan 27, 2025 Liga Profesional
Banfield vs Newells Old Boys
3:0
Jun 4, 2024 Liga Profesional
Banfield vs Newells Old Boys
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newells Old Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Coccaro M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Banfield Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newells Old Boys 50 / 100
Banfield 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newells Old Boys Banfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newells Old Boys Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Newells Old Boys remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Newells Old Boys scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Banfield let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Newells Old Boys VS Banfield
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Newells Old Boys

(Home)
03 Oct
Newells Old Boys
0 : 0
Lanus
20 Sept
Platense
0 : 1
Newells Old Boys
11 Sept
Newells Old Boys
1 : 1
Velez Sarsfield
06 Sept
Rosario Central
1 : 1
Newells Old Boys
31 Aug
Estudiantes L.P.
0 : 0
Newells Old Boys
Page 1 of 6

Banfield

(Away)
06 Oct
Banfield
1 : 1
Rosario Central
19 Sept
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 2
Banfield
14 Sept
Banfield
1 : 1
Barracas Central
09 Sept
Deportivo Riestra
1 : 2
Banfield
05 Sept
Aldosivi
3 : 1
Banfield
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 12 8 2 2 19:10 26
2 Defensa y Justicia 12 7 3 2 18:11 24
3 Boca Juniors 12 5 6 1 19:13 21
4 Velez Sarsfield 11 5 6 0 17:11 21
5 Lanus 11 5 2 4 13:9 17
6 Newells Old Boys 11 4 5 2 11:8 17
7 Gimnasia Mendoza 11 5 2 4 14:12 17
8 Independiente 11 5 2 4 11:12 17
9 Estudiantes L.P. 11 4 1 6 13:11 13
10 Union de Santa Fe 12 4 1 7 17:21 13
11 Deportivo Riestra 11 2 5 4 9:11 11
12 San Lorenzo 11 3 2 6 4:11 11
13 Platense 11 2 4 5 11:17 10
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 11 2 3 6 8:14 9
15 Talleres Cordoba 11 2 2 7 11:18 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 11 6 3 2 15:10 21
2 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 11 5 4 2 12:7 19
3 Sarmiento Junin 11 6 1 4 20:17 19
4 Rosario Central 11 5 4 2 12:9 19
5 Huracan 11 5 4 2 11:8 19
6 Gimnasia L.P. 12 5 4 3 17:17 19
7 Ind. Rivadavia 11 5 3 3 15:14 18
8 Barracas Central 11 4 3 4 8:9 15
9 Atl. Tucuman 12 3 5 4 10:10 14
10 River Plate 10 4 1 5 13:12 13
11 Tigre 11 3 3 5 10:11 12
12 Racing Club 11 3 2 6 13:17 11
13 Banfield 11 2 4 5 12:17 10
14 Aldosivi 12 2 2 8 13:20 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 11 1 3 7 6:15 6
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)