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Stadium Background

Newells Old Boys vs Platense

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Guch F.
21'
Vazquez I.
23' Event
Guch F.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Profesional game between Newells Old Boys and Platense finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Newells Old Boys
35%
Draws
20%
Platense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Newells Old Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Platense come out ahead of Newells Old Boys on wins alone.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Newells Old Boys taking it.
  • Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Newells Old Boys Clean Sheet 68%
Platense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newells Old Boys Platense
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.97 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Liga Profesional
Platense vs Newells Old Boys
0:1
Mar 11, 2026 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Platense
1:1
May 11, 2024 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Platense
2:0
Mar 16, 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Platense
0:0
Oct 31, 2023 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Platense vs Newells Old Boys
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newells Old Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Guch F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Platense Compare

Top Goalscorer Lotti A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newells Old Boys 77 / 100
Platense 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newells Old Boys Platense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newells Old Boys Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Platense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Newells Old Boys stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Newells Old Boys found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Away concern: Platense has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Newells Old Boys VS Platense
1 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Newells Old Boys

(Home)
20 Sept
Platense
0 : 1
Newells Old Boys
11 Sept
Newells Old Boys
1 : 1
Velez Sarsfield
06 Sept
Rosario Central
1 : 1
Newells Old Boys
31 Aug
Estudiantes L.P.
0 : 0
Newells Old Boys
23 Aug
Newells Old Boys
2 : 1
Banfield
Page 1 of 6

Platense

(Away)
20 Sept
Platense
0 : 1
Newells Old Boys
15 Sept
Platense
2 : 1
Fluminense
12 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
2 : 1
Platense
08 Sept
Fluminense
2 : 0
Platense
04 Sept
Platense
1 : 1
Deportivo Riestra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 19:7 31
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 22:9 30
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 18:12 28
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 17:13 26
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 24:20 24
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 18:15 24
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 14:14 22
8 Union de Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 24:20 21
9 Instituto 16 6 3 7 17:17 21
10 Defensa y Justicia 16 4 7 5 18:21 19
11 Gimnasia Mendoza 16 5 4 7 14:22 19
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 10:15 16
13 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 16 4 4 8 11:21 16
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 15:27 15
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 5:12 11
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ind. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 29:15 34
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 22:12 29
3 Argentinos Jrs 16 8 5 3 17:13 29
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 20:16 28
5 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 16 7 5 4 17:13 26
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 19:19 26
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 17:13 22
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 17:15 21
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 15:15 21
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 18:15 20
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 13:20 19
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 17:19 18
13 Atl. Tucuman 16 3 5 8 15:20 14
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 6:19 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 5:24 5
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)