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Newells Old Boys vs Union de Santa Fe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
09:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Newells Old Boys host Union de Santa Fe in the Liga Profesional. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Newells Old Boys at 0.93 goals for, 1.29 against; Union de Santa Fe at 1.5 for, 1.5 against. Past meetings favor Newells Old Boys slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (1.31 - 1.06) back Union de Santa Fe to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Newells Old Boys
30%
Draws
8%
Union de Santa Fe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Newells Old Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Union de Santa Fe have won more games recently than Newells Old Boys.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Newells Old Boys taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Newells Old Boys Clean Sheet 68%
Union de Santa Fe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newells Old Boys Union de Santa Fe
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0.93 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Liga Profesional
Union de Santa Fe vs Newells Old Boys
2:3
Nov 1, 2025 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Union de Santa Fe
0:1
Apr 19, 2025 Liga Profesional
Union de Santa Fe vs Newells Old Boys
1:1
Nov 2, 2024 Liga Profesional
Union de Santa Fe vs Newells Old Boys
2:0
Feb 9, 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Union de Santa Fe vs Newells Old Boys
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newells Old Boys 95 / 100
Union de Santa Fe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newells Old Boys Union de Santa Fe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newells Old Boys Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Union de Santa Fe conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Newells Old Boys scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Newells Old Boys went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newells Old Boys VS Union de Santa Fe
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Newells Old Boys

(Home)
19 Oct
Newells Old Boys
2 : 1
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
12 Oct
Gimnasia Mendoza
1 : 0
Newells Old Boys
03 Oct
Newells Old Boys
0 : 0
Lanus
20 Sept
Platense
0 : 1
Newells Old Boys
11 Sept
Newells Old Boys
1 : 1
Velez Sarsfield
Page 1 of 6

Union de Santa Fe

(Away)
20 Oct
Deportivo Riestra
1 : 1
Union de Santa Fe
10 Oct
Union de Santa Fe
0 : 2
Defensa y Justicia
03 Oct
Boca Juniors
3 : 0
Union de Santa Fe
19 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
1 : 2
Independiente
12 Sept
Talleres Cordoba
2 : 1
Union de Santa Fe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 13 9 2 2 20:10 29
2 Boca Juniors 13 6 6 1 21:14 24
3 Defensa y Justicia 13 7 3 3 18:12 24
4 Velez Sarsfield 13 6 6 1 18:13 24
5 Lanus 13 7 2 4 16:9 23
6 Newells Old Boys 13 5 5 3 13:10 20
7 Gimnasia Mendoza 14 6 2 6 16:15 20
8 Independiente 13 5 4 4 12:13 19
9 San Lorenzo 13 5 2 6 7:12 17
10 Estudiantes L.P. 13 4 2 7 16:15 14
11 Union de Santa Fe 13 4 2 7 18:22 14
12 Platense 14 3 5 6 14:20 14
13 Deportivo Riestra 13 2 6 5 10:13 12
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 13 2 4 7 11:18 10
15 Talleres Cordoba 13 2 3 8 12:20 9
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rosario Central 13 7 4 2 20:11 25
2 Argentinos Jrs 13 7 4 2 17:11 25
3 Gimnasia L.P. 14 7 4 3 21:18 25
4 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 13 6 4 3 14:10 22
5 Sarmiento Junin 14 6 3 5 22:21 21
6 River Plate 13 6 2 5 18:13 20
7 Barracas Central 13 5 4 4 11:10 19
8 Huracan 13 5 4 4 12:12 19
9 Ind. Rivadavia 13 5 4 4 17:21 19
10 Atl. Tucuman 14 4 5 5 13:13 17
11 Tigre 14 3 4 7 13:16 13
12 Banfield 13 3 4 6 14:19 13
13 Racing Club 13 3 3 7 14:20 12
14 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 13 2 3 8 8:17 9
15 Aldosivi 13 2 2 9 14:22 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)