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Newells Old Boys W vs CA Independiente W

Argentina Argentina

Primera A Women Estadio Marcelo Bielsa
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Buscalia O.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A Women game between Newells Old Boys W and CA Independiente W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CA Independiente W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Newells Old Boys W
28%
Draws
22%
CA Independiente W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Newells Old Boys W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Newells Old Boys W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Newells Old Boys W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Newells Old Boys W Clean Sheet 68%
CA Independiente W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newells Old Boys W CA Independiente W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 0.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 2 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Primera A Women
Newells Old Boys W vs CA Independiente W
0:1
Sep 14, 2025 Primera A Women
CA Independiente W vs Newells Old Boys W
1:0
May 8, 2025 Primera A Women
CA Independiente W vs Newells Old Boys W
0:3
Nov 10, 2024 Primera A Women
Newells Old Boys W vs CA Independiente W
1:0
Jun 23, 2024 Primera A Women
CA Independiente W vs Newells Old Boys W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newells Old Boys W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

CA Independiente W Compare

Top Goalscorer Buscalia O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newells Old Boys W 59 / 100
CA Independiente W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newells Old Boys W CA Independiente W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CA Independiente W conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: CA Independiente W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Newells Old Boys W's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Newells Old Boys W VS CA Independiente W
0.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%