Sport Picks
Newington FC vs Ballinamallard - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Northern Ireland
NIFL Championship 
AI Match Summary
The NIFL Championship game between Newington FC and Ballinamallard finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newington FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ballinamallard
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- Newington FC carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Newington FC a 23% chance of winning this.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Newington FC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Newington FC Clean Sheet 10%
Ballinamallard Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newington FC | Ballinamallard |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 NIFL Championship
Newington FC vs Ballinamallard
4:0
Mar 21, 2026 NIFL Championship
Newington FC vs Ballinamallard
4:0
Nov 21, 2025 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Newington FC
3:3
Sep 5, 2025 NIFL Championship
Newington FC vs Ballinamallard
4:1
Apr 12, 2025 NIFL Championship
Newington FC vs Ballinamallard
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newington FC 56 / 100
Ballinamallard 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newington FC Ballinamallard
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Newington FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newington FC scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Ballinamallard's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 4.40 goals.
Solid form: Newington FC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Newington FC VS Ballinamallard
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Newington FC
(Home) 09 Oct
Newington FC
0 : 2 Ards
03 Oct
Institute
7 : 0 Newington FC
26 Sept
Newington FC
4 : 0 Ballinamallard
19 Sept
Glenavon
1 : 0 Newington FC
12 Sept
Newington FC
5 : 5 Dundela
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Newington FC
0 : 2 Ards
26 Sept
Newington FC
4 : 0 Ballinamallard
12 Sept
Newington FC
5 : 5 Dundela
22 Aug
Newington FC
4 : 0 Rathfriland Rangers
15 Aug
Newington FC
2 : 1 Queens University
Page 1 of 3
Ballinamallard
(Away) 10 Oct
Queens University
0 : 1 Ballinamallard
03 Oct
Ballinamallard
1 : 1 Ards
26 Sept
Newington FC
4 : 0 Ballinamallard
19 Sept
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3 Ballinamallard
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1 Glenavon
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Queens University
0 : 1 Ballinamallard
26 Sept
Newington FC
4 : 0 Ballinamallard
19 Sept
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3 Ballinamallard
05 Sept
Loughgall
1 : 6 Ballinamallard
15 Aug
Moyola
2 : 0 Ballinamallard
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Annagh | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 25:14 | 22 |
| 2 | Glenavon | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26:14 | 21 |
| 3 | Newington FC | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24:20 | 20 |
| 4 | Queens University | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20:8 | 19 |
| 5 | Newry City | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:19 | 18 |
| 6 | Warrenpoint | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:15 | 17 |
| 7 | Institute | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20:17 | 17 |
| 8 | Ballinamallard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:16 | 17 |
| 9 | Harland & Wolff | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Ards | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 15 |
| 11 | Moyola | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:21 | 14 |
| 12 | Loughgall | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:21 | 13 |
| 13 | Dundela | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 19:23 | 11 |
| 14 | Strabane Athletic | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:20 | 9 |
| 15 | Rathfriland Rangers | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 11:23 | 9 |
| 16 | Armagh | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 9:18 | 5 |
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)
