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Newington FC vs Ballymoney

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Newington FC play Ballymoney in the Irish Cup 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Newington FC averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.85 conceded. Ballymoney averaged 1.37 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. In past meetings, Newington FC won 1, Ballymoney won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 7, 2023 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Newington FC and 1.13 for Ballymoney. This points to a Newington FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Newington FC
15%
Draws
30%
Ballymoney
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newington FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Newington FC picked up more points recently compared to Ballymoney.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72%
Newington FC Clean Sheet 21%
Ballymoney Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newington FC Ballymoney
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 3 1
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 2.03 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.85 2.6

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2023 Irish Cup
Newington FC vs Ballymoney
2:1
Dec 7, 2013 Irish Cup
Newington FC vs Ballymoney
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newington FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Stuart D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morgan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Ballymoney Compare

Top Goalscorer Gillan G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newington FC 54 / 100
Ballymoney 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newington FC Ballymoney

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newington FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Newington FC & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8%
1.35
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Newington FC attacking → ← attacking Ballymoney

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newington FC scored in 97% of their last 33 games.

Ballymoney let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Newington FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ballymoney lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 28
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00