Sport Picks
Newport City vs Trethomas Bluebirds - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru South 
AI Match Summary
Newport City host Trethomas Bluebirds in the Cymru South. Little to choose between these two on current form. Newport City have averaged 1.11 scored and 1.89 conceded recently, against Trethomas Bluebirds's 1.68 scored and 2.18 conceded. Past meetings favor Trethomas Bluebirds slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 16, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.38, favoring Trethomas Bluebirds. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Trethomas Bluebirds come out ahead of Newport City on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newport City | Trethomas Bluebirds |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.89 | 2.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Trethomas Bluebirds conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Newport City found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).
Recent resilience: Newport City stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Newport City
(Home)Trethomas Bluebirds
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 30:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Pontypridd United | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 3 | Aberystwyth | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22:18 | 19 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 7 | Carmarthen Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22:21 | 15 |
| 8 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 20:18 | 13 |
| 9 | Treowen | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:21 | 13 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18:22 | 12 |
| 11 | Caerphilly | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 12 | Pontardawe | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 14 | Newport City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:9 | 8 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:21 | 8 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9:33 | 2 |
