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Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Facey D.

AI Match Summary

Ynyshir Albions in this Cymru South matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ynyshir Albions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Newport City
35%
Draws
53%
Ynyshir Albions
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ynyshir Albions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ynyshir Albions lately — more wins on the board than Newport City.
  • Model gives Ynyshir Albions a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ynyshir Albions here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Newport City Clean Sheet 20%
Ynyshir Albions Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newport City Ynyshir Albions
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.11 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Cymru South
Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 Cymru South
Ynyshir Albions vs Newport City
4:0
Aug 22, 2025 Cymru South
Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newport City Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ynyshir Albions Compare

Top Goalscorer Facey D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newport City 20 / 100
Ynyshir Albions 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newport City Ynyshir Albions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ynyshir Albions Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ynyshir Albions has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Attacking prowess: Newport City scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Newport City remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Newport City VS Ynyshir Albions
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Newport City

(Home)
09 Oct
Caerphilly
3 : 2
Newport City
03 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 1
Newport City
25 Sept
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Newport City
28 Aug
Newport City
0 : 1
Ynyshir Albions
21 Aug
Newport City
0 : 1
Baglan Dragons
Page 1 of 6

Ynyshir Albions

(Away)
10 Oct
Ynyshir Albions
6 : 2
Llanelli
03 Oct
Treowen
1 : 2
Ynyshir Albions
26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2
Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Ynyshir Albions
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 9 6 3 0 30:11 21
2 Pontypridd United 10 6 2 2 24:17 20
3 Aberystwyth 9 6 1 2 22:9 19
4 Caerau Ely 10 6 1 3 22:18 19
5 Baglan Dragons 11 5 2 4 12:12 17
6 Ynyshir Albions 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
7 Carmarthen Town 10 4 3 3 22:21 15
8 Trethomas Bluebirds 10 3 4 3 20:18 13
9 Treowen 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
10 Afan Lido 11 3 3 5 18:22 12
11 Caerphilly 10 3 2 5 12:19 11
12 Pontardawe 9 3 1 5 15:17 10
13 Cardiff Draconians 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
14 Newport City 8 2 2 4 12:9 8
15 Llantwit Major 9 2 2 5 8:21 8
16 Llanelli 11 0 2 9 9:33 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)