Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Newport vs AS Roma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly Rodney Parade, Newport
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Hermoso M.
Assist: Castro S.
40'
Jenkins L.
46'
Sub
Wright J. In: MacDonald S.
Out: Wright J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Newport and AS Roma finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Roma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Newport
35%
Draws
40%
AS Roma
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AS Roma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Newport haven't matched AS Roma's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans AS Roma's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Newport Clean Sheet 17%
AS Roma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newport AS Roma
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.31 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Newport vs AS Roma
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newport Compare

Top Goalscorer Cameron K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

AS Roma Compare

Top Goalscorer Hermoso M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Koulierakis K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newport 23 / 100
AS Roma 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newport AS Roma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Roma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Newport's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Newport remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

AS Roma has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Newport VS AS Roma
1.13 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Newport

(Home)
24 Oct
Cheltenham
1 : 0
Newport
20 Oct
Rotherham
2 : 2
Newport
17 Oct
Newport
1 : 1
York City
10 Oct
Newport
1 : 0
Colchester
06 Oct
Newport
2 : 3
Plymouth
Page 1 of 6

AS Roma

(Away)
24 Oct
Napoli
3 : 3
AS Roma
20 Oct
AS Roma
4 : 0
Slovan Bratislava
17 Oct
AS Roma
2 : 0
Genoa
14 Oct
AS Roma
3 : 4
Real Madrid
11 Oct
Como
0 : 0
AS Roma
Page 1 of 6