Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Dibley-Dias M.
36'
36'
Sub
Shelton M. In: Reynolds R.
Out: Shelton M.
57'
57'
Doidge C.
Assist: Norman C.
AI Match Summary
The League Two game between Newport and Grimsby finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newport.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newport
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Grimsby come out ahead of Newport on wins alone.
- 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Newport Clean Sheet 18%
Grimsby Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newport | Grimsby |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 League Two
Newport vs Grimsby
2:1
Feb 7, 2026 League Two
Newport vs Grimsby
0:0
Aug 16, 2025 League Two
Grimsby vs Newport
2:1
Mar 22, 2025 League Two
Grimsby vs Newport
1:0
Nov 16, 2024 League Two
Newport vs Grimsby
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Newport Compare
Top Goalscorer Doidge C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gwengwe S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Grimsby Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newport 31 / 100
Grimsby 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newport Grimsby
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Newport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Grimsby lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Newport scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Grimsby's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Newport stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Newport VS Grimsby
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Newport
(Home) 10 Oct
Newport
1 : 0 Colchester
06 Oct
Newport
2 : 3 Plymouth
03 Oct
Gillingham
0 : 0 Newport
26 Sept
Newport
2 : 1 Grimsby
22 Sept
Swindon
0 : 2 Newport
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Newport
1 : 0 Colchester
06 Oct
Newport
2 : 3 Plymouth
26 Sept
Newport
2 : 1 Grimsby
12 Sept
Newport
1 : 1 Fleetwood Town
29 Aug
Newport
2 : 2 Tranmere
Page 1 of 3
Grimsby
(Away) 10 Oct
Port Vale
1 : 0 Grimsby
06 Oct
Grimsby
0 : 1 Burton
03 Oct
Grimsby
1 : 2 Shrewsbury
26 Sept
Newport
2 : 1 Grimsby
22 Sept
Notts County
2 : 1 Grimsby
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Port Vale
1 : 0 Grimsby
26 Sept
Newport
2 : 1 Grimsby
22 Sept
Notts County
2 : 1 Grimsby
05 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 2 Grimsby
01 Sept
Accrington
2 : 2 Grimsby
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:10 | 19 |
| 2 | Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:11 | 18 |
| 3 | Crewe | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 12:7 | 18 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 16 |
| 5 | York City | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:11 | 15 |
| 6 | Walsall | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 8 | Cheltenham | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:16 | 15 |
| 9 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 10 | Rochdale | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | 14 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 12 | Newport | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Exeter | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6:6 | 12 |
| 15 | Accrington | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:11 | 11 |
| 17 | Swindon | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 11 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | 11 |
| 19 | Colchester | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 20 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 21 | Oldham | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | 8 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:9 | 8 |
| 23 | Northampton | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4:7 | 7 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | 5 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
