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Newport vs York City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two Rodney Parade, Newport
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Newport host York City in the League Two. This one's hard to separate. York City have shipped 1.41 goals a game lately, while Newport have conceded 1.58 and scored 1.35. Head-to-head, Newport have won 3 to York City's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 16, 2016, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.31) point toward York City. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Newport
20%
Draws
23%
York City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Newport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to York City lately — more wins on the board than Newport.
  • Win probability leans Newport's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Newport Clean Sheet 18%
York City Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newport York City
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.35 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2016 League Two
York City vs Newport
0:1
Sep 5, 2015 League Two
Newport vs York City
0:3
Apr 25, 2015 League Two
York City vs Newport
0:2
Oct 11, 2014 League Two
Newport vs York City
3:1
Apr 26, 2014 League Two
York City vs Newport
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newport 67 / 100
York City 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newport York City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newport's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: York City conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Newport has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Newport VS York City
1 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Newport

(Home)
10 Oct
Newport
1 : 0
Colchester
06 Oct
Newport
2 : 3
Plymouth
03 Oct
Gillingham
0 : 0
Newport
26 Sept
Newport
2 : 1
Grimsby
22 Sept
Swindon
0 : 2
Newport
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York City

(Away)
10 Oct
York City
1 : 1
Northampton
26 Sept
York City
3 : 0
Gillingham
22 Sept
York City
1 : 2
Rotherham
19 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 0
York City
15 Sept
York City
1 : 3
Newcastle Utd U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 10 6 1 3 15:10 19
2 Barnet 8 5 3 0 20:11 18
3 Crewe 10 4 6 0 12:7 18
4 Gillingham 10 4 4 2 15:10 16
5 York City 9 4 3 2 17:11 15
6 Walsall 9 3 6 0 12:6 15
7 Chesterfield 10 4 3 3 17:14 15
8 Cheltenham 10 4 3 3 16:16 15
9 Bristol Rovers 10 5 0 5 15:17 15
10 Rochdale 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
11 Grimsby 10 3 4 3 13:11 13
12 Newport 10 3 4 3 13:12 13
13 Tranmere 10 2 6 2 13:13 12
14 Exeter 10 3 3 4 6:6 12
15 Accrington 10 2 5 3 13:14 11
16 Fleetwood Town 10 2 5 3 10:11 11
17 Swindon 10 3 2 5 9:14 11
18 Shrewsbury 10 3 2 5 9:15 11
19 Colchester 9 2 4 3 10:13 10
20 Rotherham 10 2 4 4 12:16 10
21 Oldham 9 2 2 5 9:13 8
22 Port Vale 8 2 2 4 4:9 8
23 Northampton 8 1 4 3 4:7 7
24 Crawley Town 8 1 2 5 8:15 5
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)