Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Newroz host Diyala in the Stars League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Newroz have averaged 1.47 scored and 0.83 conceded recently, against Diyala's 1.07 scored and 1.33 conceded. Head-to-head, Newroz have won 3 to Diyala's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 0.88) point toward Newroz. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Newroz come out ahead of Diyala on wins alone.
- Model gives Newroz a 52% chance of winning this.
- Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Newroz have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newroz | Diyala |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newroz found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
Games between these two average 3.25 goals.
Solid form: Newroz remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Diyala let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Newroz
(Home)Diyala
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Karma | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 17:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Newroz | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16:4 | 21 |
| 3 | Al Naft | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:5 | 21 |
| 4 | Al Zawraa | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:7 | 18 |
| 5 | Erbil | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:5 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Shorta | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 10:5 | 17 |
| 7 | Al Golan | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:9 | 14 |
| 8 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 14:12 | 12 |
| 9 | Duhok | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 10 | Diyala | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 11 | Al Minaa | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 12 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5:7 | 11 |
| 13 | Al Talaba | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 14 | Al Mosul | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | 11 |
| 15 | Zakho | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:13 | 9 |
| 16 | Al Gharraf | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:14 | 9 |
| 17 | Al Karkh | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14:17 | 8 |
| 18 | Al Kahraba | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6:11 | 8 |
| 19 | Naft Missan | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7:14 | 8 |
| 20 | Karbala | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:17 | 6 |
