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Newroz vs Kumla

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2020
Newroz Logo

Newroz

Sat, Jun 27, 2020
VS
02:00 PM
Kumla Logo

Kumla

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Newroz host Kumla in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2020. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Newroz have averaged 1.65 scored and 3 conceded recently, against Kumla's 1.26 scored and 1.52 conceded. Head-to-head, Newroz have won 0 to Kumla's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 3, 2020, ending 3:3. xG projections (1.17 - 1.18) back Kumla to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Newroz
20%
Draws
70%
Kumla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kumla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kumla come out ahead of Newroz on wins alone.
  • Model gives Kumla a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Newroz Clean Sheet 20%
Kumla Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newroz Kumla
Matches Played 17 31
Wins 3 10
Draws 2 10
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.65 1.26
Goals Conceded 3 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2020 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Kumla vs Newroz
3:3
Jun 27, 2020 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Newroz vs Kumla
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newroz 10 / 100
Kumla 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newroz Kumla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KUM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Newroz scored in 71% of their last 17 outings.

Defensive concern: Kumla conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Newroz remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kumla
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Newroz

(Home)
31 Jan
Newroz
0 : 5
Umea FC
17 Oct
Gute
2 : 0
Newroz
10 Oct
Newroz
0 : 4
Atvidaberg
03 Oct
Kumla
3 : 3
Newroz
26 Sept
Newroz
2 : 3
Huddinge
Page 1 of 4

Kumla

(Away)
08 Aug
Kumla
2 : 1
Vanersborgs IF
31 Jul
Tord
2 : 0
Kumla
24 Jun
Grebbestad
2 : 1
Kumla
18 Jun
Kumla
1 : 0
Tord
11 Jun
Motala
0 : 0
Kumla
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Assyriska FF 13 10 1 2 37:11 31
2 Atvidaberg 13 10 1 2 33:18 31
3 Forward 13 9 3 1 32:14 30
4 Tyreso 13 9 1 3 31:15 28
5 Varmbols 13 5 4 4 24:21 19
6 Kumla 13 5 3 5 31:26 18
7 Arameisk-Syrianska 13 5 2 6 19:28 17
8 Trosa-Vagnharads SK 13 4 4 5 20:25 16
9 IFK Eskilstuna 13 4 2 7 17:28 14
10 Gute 13 3 4 6 17:25 13
11 Huddinge 13 3 3 7 20:26 12
12 Rynninge 13 3 2 8 15:28 11
13 Assyriska IF 13 3 0 10 14:30 9
14 Newroz 13 2 2 9 19:34 8
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2020 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2020 (Relegation)