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Newry City vs Armagh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship The Showgrounds, Newry
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AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship game between Newry City and Armagh finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Newry City
20%
Draws
10%
Armagh
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Newry City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Newry City come out ahead of Armagh on wins alone.
  • Model gives Newry City a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Newry City Clean Sheet 19%
Armagh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newry City Armagh
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 1
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.45 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.66 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 NIFL Championship
Newry City vs Armagh
2:2
Apr 12, 2025 NIFL Championship
Armagh vs Newry City
4:1
Dec 30, 2024 NIFL Championship
Newry City vs Armagh
1:1
Nov 8, 2024 NIFL Championship
Newry City vs Armagh
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 NIFL Championship
Armagh vs Newry City
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newry City 76 / 100
Armagh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newry City Armagh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newry City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newry City's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Armagh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Newry City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newry City VS Armagh
2 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Newry City

(Home)
20 Oct
Carrick Rangers
3 : 0
Newry City
17 Oct
Queens University
1 : 1
Newry City
09 Oct
Newry City
3 : 1
Dundela
03 Oct
Loughgall
2 : 1
Newry City
25 Sept
Newry City
3 : 2
Harland & Wolff
Page 1 of 6

Armagh

(Away)
20 Oct
Armagh
1 : 3
Harland & Wolff
17 Oct
Armagh
1 : 3
Annagh
09 Oct
Rathfriland Rangers
2 : 1
Armagh
02 Oct
Strabane Athletic
0 : 0
Armagh
26 Sept
Armagh
0 : 2
Dundela
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annagh 12 7 4 1 28:15 25
2 Glenavon 12 7 3 2 30:14 24
3 Newington FC 12 7 2 3 27:22 23
4 Queens University 12 6 2 4 21:9 20
5 Institute 12 6 2 4 22:17 20
6 Newry City 12 5 4 3 20:20 19
7 Warrenpoint 12 5 3 4 21:17 18
8 Ballinamallard 12 5 3 4 19:18 18
9 Harland & Wolff 12 5 1 6 18:20 16
10 Ards 12 4 3 5 14:15 15
11 Loughgall 12 3 5 4 16:22 14
12 Moyola 12 4 2 6 14:24 14
13 Rathfriland Rangers 12 4 0 8 12:23 12
14 Dundela 12 2 5 5 19:24 11
15 Strabane Athletic 12 2 4 6 11:21 10
16 Armagh 12 0 5 7 10:21 5
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)