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Newry City vs Armagh

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship The Showgrounds, Newry
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AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship game between Newry City and Armagh finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Newry City
30%
Draws
16%
Armagh
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Newry City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Newry City come out ahead of Armagh on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Newry City Clean Sheet 20%
Armagh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newry City Armagh
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 2
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.34 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.86 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 NIFL Championship
Newry City vs Armagh
2:2
Apr 12, 2025 NIFL Championship
Armagh vs Newry City
4:1
Dec 30, 2024 NIFL Championship
Newry City vs Armagh
1:1
Nov 8, 2024 NIFL Championship
Newry City vs Armagh
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 NIFL Championship
Armagh vs Newry City
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newry City 31 / 100
Armagh 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newry City Armagh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newry City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newry City's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Armagh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Newry City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newry City VS Armagh
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Newry City

(Home)
04 Sept
Newry City
2 : 2
Armagh
29 Aug
Institute
1 : 3
Newry City
21 Aug
Newry City
0 : 3
Warrenpoint
15 Aug
Rathfriland Rangers
1 : 2
Newry City
11 Aug
Newry City
1 : 4
Glenavon
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Armagh

(Away)
04 Sept
Newry City
2 : 2
Armagh
28 Aug
Moyola
1 : 0
Armagh
22 Aug
Armagh
2 : 2
Glenavon
15 Aug
Harland & Wolff
1 : 0
Armagh
11 Aug
Warrenpoint
2 : 0
Armagh
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newington FC 6 5 1 0 15:5 16
2 Harland & Wolff 6 5 0 1 13:4 15
3 Queens University 6 4 1 1 17:5 13
4 Annagh 6 4 1 1 14:10 13
5 Glenavon 6 3 1 2 16:11 10
6 Newry City 6 3 1 2 9:11 10
7 Ballinamallard 6 3 0 3 11:9 9
8 Loughgall 6 2 3 1 11:13 9
9 Ards 6 2 1 3 10:11 7
10 Warrenpoint 6 2 1 3 9:10 7
11 Institute 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
12 Moyola 6 2 1 3 7:11 7
13 Dundela 6 1 3 2 10:12 6
14 Armagh 6 0 3 3 5:9 3
15 Strabane Athletic 6 1 0 5 6:16 3
16 Rathfriland Rangers 6 0 0 6 5:18 0
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)