Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Newry City vs Ballyclare

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2024/2025 The Showgrounds, Newry
Newry City Logo

Newry City

2 - 2
FT
Ballyclare Logo

Ballyclare

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
McNickle R.
10' Event
Doyle B.
12' Event
Doyle B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NIFL Championship 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Newry City
20%
Draws
0%
Ballyclare
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Newry City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Newry City have won more games recently than Ballyclare.
  • Model gives Newry City a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Newry City Clean Sheet 20%
Ballyclare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newry City Ballyclare
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.31 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.79 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.60 0.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 NIFL Championship
Newry City vs Ballyclare
2:2
Jan 11, 2025 NIFL Championship
Ballyclare vs Newry City
3:1
Oct 26, 2024 NIFL Championship
Ballyclare vs Newry City
3:1
Sep 20, 2024 NIFL Championship
Newry City vs Ballyclare
2:1
Oct 4, 2022 Irish League Cup
Ballyclare vs Newry City
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newry City Compare

Top Goalscorer McNickle R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McEnteggart E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2
Avg xA / game 1.3

Ballyclare Compare

Top Goalscorer Doyle B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newry City 85 / 100
Ballyclare 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newry City Ballyclare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newry City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newry City scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Ballyclare's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Ballyclare lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newry City VS Ballyclare
1.38 Goals Scored 0.67
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.83
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Newry City

(Home)
11 Sept
Strabane Athletic
2 : 2
Newry City
04 Sept
Newry City
2 : 2
Armagh
29 Aug
Institute
1 : 3
Newry City
21 Aug
Newry City
0 : 3
Warrenpoint
15 Aug
Rathfriland Rangers
1 : 2
Newry City
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Ballyclare

(Away)
01 Aug
Ballyclare
1 : 8
Carrick Rangers
28 Jul
Queens University
4 : 1
Ballyclare
18 Jul
Ballyclare
1 : 4
Loughgall
11 Jul
Ballyclare
0 : 2
Ballymena
04 Jul
Ballyclare
0 : 3
Portadown
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Institute 38 13 12 13 62:63 51
8 Ballinamallard 38 13 5 20 55:62 44
9 Armagh 38 10 12 16 62:78 42
10 Newington FC 38 11 9 18 51:74 42
11 Ballyclare 38 11 7 20 52:85 40
12 Newry City 38 7 10 21 46:78 31
Relegation - NIFL Championship 2024/2025 (Relegation)