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Newry City vs Dungannon

World World

Club Friendly 2024 The Showgrounds, Newry
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Mitchell A.
35' Event
Galvin T.
66' Event
Campbell R.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Newry City and Dungannon finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dungannon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Newry City
35%
Draws
35%
Dungannon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dungannon come out ahead of Newry City on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Dungannon have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Newry City Clean Sheet 15%
Dungannon Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newry City Dungannon
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.31 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Newry City vs Dungannon
0:4
Apr 13, 2024 NIFL Premiership
Newry City vs Dungannon
0:2
Dec 30, 2023 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Newry City
5:0
Dec 12, 2023 Irish League Cup
Dungannon vs Newry City
4:2
Nov 18, 2023 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Newry City
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newry City Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Dungannon Compare

Top Goalscorer Mitchell A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Galvin T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newry City 35 / 100
Dungannon 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newry City Dungannon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dungannon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newry City's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Dungannon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Newry City remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Newry City VS Dungannon
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Newry City

(Home)
18 Sept
Newry City
1 : 1
Annagh
11 Sept
Strabane Athletic
2 : 2
Newry City
04 Sept
Newry City
2 : 2
Armagh
29 Aug
Institute
1 : 3
Newry City
21 Aug
Newry City
0 : 3
Warrenpoint
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Dungannon

(Away)
19 Sept
Dungannon
1 : 1
Ballymena
15 Sept
Crusaders
3 : 0
Dungannon
12 Sept
Dungannon
0 : 1
Linfield
05 Sept
Limavady
0 : 2
Dungannon
29 Aug
Cliftonville
0 : 2
Dungannon
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