Sport Picks
Newry City vs Tobermore
Northern Ireland
Irish League Cup 2021/2022 The Showgrounds, Newry 
Match Events
39'
39'
Hughes D.
57'
57'
Smith P.
61'
61'
Hughes D.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Newry City advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Newry City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Newry City come out ahead of Tobermore on wins alone.
- Newry City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Newry City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Newry City, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Newry City Clean Sheet 16%
Tobermore Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newry City | Tobermore |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 0 |
| Losses | 12 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 2.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.65 | 2.58 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 31, 2021 Irish League Cup
Newry City vs Tobermore
2:1
Mar 30, 2013 NIFL Championship
Tobermore vs Newry City
0:0
Oct 13, 2012 NIFL Championship
Newry City vs Tobermore
0:0
Apr 21, 2012 NIFL Championship
Newry City vs Tobermore
3:3
Oct 1, 2011 NIFL Championship
Tobermore vs Newry City
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Newry City Compare
Top Goalscorer Hughes D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Tobermore Compare
Top Goalscorer Smith P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newry City 84 / 100
Tobermore 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newry City Tobermore
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Newry City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newry City found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).
Tobermore let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Newry City remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Newry City VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Newry City
(Home) 18 Sept
Newry City
1 : 1 Annagh
11 Sept
Strabane Athletic
2 : 2 Newry City
04 Sept
Newry City
2 : 2 Armagh
29 Aug
Institute
1 : 3 Newry City
21 Aug
Newry City
0 : 3 Warrenpoint
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
Newry City
1 : 1 Annagh
04 Sept
Newry City
2 : 2 Armagh
21 Aug
Newry City
0 : 3 Warrenpoint
11 Aug
Newry City
1 : 4 Glenavon
28 Jul
Newry City
1 : 0 Bangor FC
Page 1 of 4
Tobermore
(Away) 13 Aug
Tobermore
3 : 4 Queens University
25 Nov
Willowbank
3 : 2 Tobermore
19 Aug
Limavady
6 : 1 Tobermore
22 Jul
Coleraine
2 : 1 Tobermore
15 Jul
Harland & Wolff
3 : 5 Tobermore
Page 1 of 7
25 Nov
Willowbank
3 : 2 Tobermore
19 Aug
Limavady
6 : 1 Tobermore
22 Jul
Coleraine
2 : 1 Tobermore
15 Jul
Harland & Wolff
3 : 5 Tobermore
31 Jul
Newry City
2 : 1 Tobermore
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Portstewart -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
Newry City 2
Tobermore 1
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
Annagh 4
Knockbreda 1
TBD -
Ballymena -
Ballyclare 2
Queens University 1
TBD -
Linfield -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
1/16-finals
Carrick Rangers 2
Dergview 1
Bangor FC 0
Coleraine 5
Glenavon 5
Portstewart 1
Glentoran 5
Banbridge 0
Newry City 1
Warrenpoint 2
Loughgall 6
Lisburn Distillery 2
Larne 4
Limavady 0
Dungannon 3
Armagh 0
Portadown 2
Newington FC 0
Dundela 0
Ballinamallard 4
Ards 4
Dollingstown 0
Cliftonville 2
Harland & Wolff 0
Crusaders 5
Moyola 0
Annagh 2
Ballymena 4
Ballyclare 0
Linfield 4
Institute 4
PSNI 3
1/8-finals
Carrick Rangers 0
Coleraine 2
Glenavon 2
Glentoran 3
Warrenpoint 1
Loughgall 0
Limavady 3
Dungannon 2
Portadown 1
Ballinamallard 0
Ards 1
Cliftonville 4
Crusaders 2
Ballymena 3
Linfield 11
PSNI 0
Quarter-finals
Coleraine 2
Glentoran 0
Warrenpoint 6
Limavady 1
Portadown 1
Cliftonville 2
Ballymena 3
Linfield 1
Semi-finals
Coleraine 6
Warrenpoint 1
Cliftonville 3
Ballymena 0
Final
Coleraine 3
Cliftonville 4
